Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD seems poised to retest sub-$20.00 levels, or YTD low set in March

Silver struggles to capitalize on the previous day's recovery move from the $20.70-$20.65 area, or its lowest level since March 13 and meets with a fresh supply on Wednesday. The white metal, however, rebounds from the daily trough touched during the early European session and currently trades around the $21.10 region, down less than 0.15% for the day.

From a technical perspective, the recent breakdown through the $23.30-$23.20 horizontal support was seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is flashing oversold conditions. This, in turn, warrants caution and makes it prudent to wait for some near-term consolidation or a modest bounce before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Nevertheless, the XAG/USD remains vulnerable to prolong its descending trend and slide back to the $20.70-$20.65 zone, or a nearly seven-month low touched on Tuesday. The downward trajectory could get extended further towards challenging the YTD trough – levels just below the $20.00 psychological mark set in March.

On the flip side, a strength beyond the overnight swing high, around the $21.40 region, might trigger a short-covering rally and allow the XAG/USD to reclaim the $22.00 round-figure mark. Any subsequent move up might be seen as a selling opportunity and remain capped near the $22.20-$22.30 strong horizontal support breakpoint. The latter should act as a pivotal point, which if cleared might shift the bias in favour of bullish traders.

Silver daily chart

Technical levels to watch