|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD remains depressed near $25.00 within bearish channel

  • Silver price treats while fading late Wednesday’s corrective bounce.
  • Eight-day-old descending trend channel, sustained trading below 200-HMA keeps XAG/USD bears hopeful.
  • Absence of oversold RSI adds strength to the bearish bias.
  • Silver price recovery needs validation from $25.70 to convince buyers.

Silver price (XAG/USD) drops to $24.90 as it fades the latest corrective bounce amid the early hours of Thursday’s Asian session. In doing so, the bright metal remains inside an eight-day-old downward-sloping trend channel, as well as staying below the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA).

Not only the bearish chart formation and the sustained trading below the 200-HMA but bearish MACD signals and an absence of the oversold RSI (14) also favor the XAG/USD. It’s worth noting, however, that the below 50 level of the RSI line suggests a bumpy road towards the south.

That said, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the XAG/USD’s upside between April 03 and 14, near $24.50, appears the immediate support for the Silver price to test.

However, the $25.00 round figure and the aforementioned channel’s bottom line, close to $24.40, seem tough nuts to crack for the commodity sellers, which if broken could make the quote vulnerable to refreshing the monthly low, currently around $23.55.

On the flip side, a convergence of the 200-HMA and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level guards short-term Silver price upside near $25.10.

Following that, the stated bearish channel’s top line, near $25.25 by the press time, will be in focus.

It should be observed that the XAG/USD run-up beyond $25.25 isn’t an open invitation to the Silver bulls as the $25.70 hurdle comprising the levels marked during mid-April can prod the upside momentum.

Silver Price: Hourly chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price24.88
Today Daily Change-0.14
Today Daily Change %-0.56%
Today daily open25.02
 
Trends
Daily SMA2024.81
Daily SMA5022.88
Daily SMA10023.15
Daily SMA20021.47
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.36
Previous Daily Low24.49
Previous Weekly High25.6
Previous Weekly Low24.64
Previous Monthly High24.16
Previous Monthly Low19.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.03
Daily Pivot Point S124.55
Daily Pivot Point S224.09
Daily Pivot Point S323.69
Daily Pivot Point R125.42
Daily Pivot Point R225.82
Daily Pivot Point R326.29

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD seems vulnerable near 0.6800, 10-month low amid bullish USD

AUD/USD languishes near a 10-month low during the Asian session on Friday, awaiting a break below 0.6800 before the next leg up amid a bullish US Dollar. Firming Fed rate-hike expectations, along with fading hopes for US-Iran diplomacy, help the USD hold gains at its highest level since April 2025. Moreover, the RBA’s dovish tilt undermines the Aussie and backs the case for further losses.

USD/JPY bulls turn cautious near 160.00 amid intervention risks

USD/JPY enters a bullish consolidation phase around its highest level since early September as bulls turn cautious amid intervention risk near 160.00. Meanwhile, the downside seems cushioned as the wide US-Japan interest rate gap keeps the Yen carry trade active. Furthermore, the possibility of a jumbo Fed rate hike and Middle East uncertainties hold the US Dollar near a 19-month top, supporting the currency pair.



Gold remains on the back foot below $3,900

Gold now alternates gains with losses below the $3,900 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal struggles to regain traction amid the firmer US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields and expectations of further tightening by the Fed at its December meeting.

Bitcoin just posted five straight losing weeks, and the storm may not be over yet

Bitcoin is struggling to find support, slipping below $70,000 as multiple headwinds threaten to push the Crypto King lower. The much-anticipated “Uptober” rally failed to materialize, with persistent selling pressure and widespread liquidations instead reinforcing the “Rektober” narrative.

Week ahead – Fed Minutes, inflation data and Nvidia earnings to guide investors

Fed minutes may add to hawkish tone as bets of 50-bps hike grow. Nvidia to report earnings as bar to impress high after spy scandal. Trade and geopolitics to be focal point of Trump-Xi summit.

Gold hit its lowest level of 2026 near $3,850
Gold (XAU/USD) attempts to stabilize around $3,890 on Friday after falling to $3,852 on Thursday, its lowest level since October 2025. The precious metal has lost more than 4% this week, as investors increasingly anticipate further monetary tightening from the Federal Reserve (Fed). The latest decline reflects a sharp change in market expectations.