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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD refreshes weekly top, seems poised to appreciate further

  • Silver scales higher for the third straight day and climbs to a fresh weekly high on Thursday.
  • The technical setup seems tilted in favour of bulls and supports prospects for further gains.
  • A sustained break below the $24.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term positive bias.

Silver gains strong follow-through positive traction for the third successive day on Thursday and climbs to a fresh weekly top during the early part of the European session. The white metal currently trades just above the $25.00 psychological mark and remains well within the striking distance of over a two-month peak touched last week.

The technical setup, meanwhile, favours bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD is to the upside. The positive outlook is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on hourly/daily charts are holding comfortably in bullish territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the $25.25 area, or the monthly peak, before positioning for any further appreciating move.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the positive momentum towards the $25.50-$25.55 intermediate hurdle and eventually aim towards reclaiming the $26.00 round figure. This is closely followed by the YTD peak, around the $26.10-$26.15 area touched in May. A sustained strength beyond will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and pave the way for additional gains.

On the flip side, any corrective pullback is more likely to attract some buying near the $24.85-$24.80 region. This should help limit the downside for the XAG/USD near the $24.60 zone. Failure to defend the said support will expose the weekly low, around the $24.25 region, which if broken decisively will negate the positive outlook and shift the bias in favour of bearish traders. Silver might then drop further below the $24.00 mark, towards the $23.65-$23.60 support.

The XAG/USD could then extend the downward trajectory further towards the $23.20-$23.15 region. Some follow-through selling below the $23.00 mark, nearing the very important 200-day SMA, will make silver vulnerable to challenge the multi-month low, around the $22.15-$22.10 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price25.05
Today Daily Change0.12
Today Daily Change %0.48
Today daily open24.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.94
Daily SMA5023.63
Daily SMA10023.84
Daily SMA20023
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.04
Previous Daily Low24.52
Previous Weekly High25.27
Previous Weekly Low24.59
Previous Monthly High24.53
Previous Monthly Low22.11
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.72
Daily Pivot Point S124.62
Daily Pivot Point S224.31
Daily Pivot Point S324.1
Daily Pivot Point R125.14
Daily Pivot Point R225.35
Daily Pivot Point R325.66

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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