|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD refreshes weekly top, seems poised to appreciate further

  • Silver scales higher for the third straight day and climbs to a fresh weekly high on Thursday.
  • The technical setup seems tilted in favour of bulls and supports prospects for further gains.
  • A sustained break below the $24.00 mark is needed to negate the near-term positive bias.

Silver gains strong follow-through positive traction for the third successive day on Thursday and climbs to a fresh weekly top during the early part of the European session. The white metal currently trades just above the $25.00 psychological mark and remains well within the striking distance of over a two-month peak touched last week.

The technical setup, meanwhile, favours bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD is to the upside. The positive outlook is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on hourly/daily charts are holding comfortably in bullish territory and are still far from being in the overbought zone. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through buying beyond the $25.25 area, or the monthly peak, before positioning for any further appreciating move.

The XAG/USD might then accelerate the positive momentum towards the $25.50-$25.55 intermediate hurdle and eventually aim towards reclaiming the $26.00 round figure. This is closely followed by the YTD peak, around the $26.10-$26.15 area touched in May. A sustained strength beyond will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and pave the way for additional gains.

On the flip side, any corrective pullback is more likely to attract some buying near the $24.85-$24.80 region. This should help limit the downside for the XAG/USD near the $24.60 zone. Failure to defend the said support will expose the weekly low, around the $24.25 region, which if broken decisively will negate the positive outlook and shift the bias in favour of bearish traders. Silver might then drop further below the $24.00 mark, towards the $23.65-$23.60 support.

The XAG/USD could then extend the downward trajectory further towards the $23.20-$23.15 region. Some follow-through selling below the $23.00 mark, nearing the very important 200-day SMA, will make silver vulnerable to challenge the multi-month low, around the $22.15-$22.10 area.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price25.05
Today Daily Change0.12
Today Daily Change %0.48
Today daily open24.93
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.94
Daily SMA5023.63
Daily SMA10023.84
Daily SMA20023
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.04
Previous Daily Low24.52
Previous Weekly High25.27
Previous Weekly Low24.59
Previous Monthly High24.53
Previous Monthly Low22.11
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%24.84
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%24.72
Daily Pivot Point S124.62
Daily Pivot Point S224.31
Daily Pivot Point S324.1
Daily Pivot Point R125.14
Daily Pivot Point R225.35
Daily Pivot Point R325.66

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.