Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD rally stalls amidst positive US data as bearish signals emerge


  • XAG/USD risks a bearish-engulfing pattern and double-top formation as the price retreats from a 12-month high.
  • A downward path is anticipated, with crucial support levels at $25.00 and $24.00 amid fading buying momentum.

Silver price retreats after reaching a 12-month new high at $26.13 in the New York session. An improvement in the US labor market due to an upbeat US jobs report trumped XAG’s chances to test last year’s high. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD is trading at $25.60, down 1.69%.

XAG/USD Price Action

As of writing, XAG/USD is still upward biased but at the brisk of a pullback. If XAG/USD registers a daily close below the May 4 daily low of $25.44, that could form two bearish signals: firstly, a bearish-engulfing candle pattern which suggests that downward action is warranted. The second is the possible formation of a double-top, a major reversal chart pattern, which could drive prices toward the $24.00 figure.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator added another signal to the mix, forming a negative divergence. This means that as XAG/USD’s price action reached successive higher highs, the RSI peaked at lower highs as buying momentum faded. Additionally, the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) shows that buying pressure is waning as sellers move into action.

Therefore, XAG/USD’s path of least resistance is downwards. The first support would be the $25.00 mark. A breach of the latter would expose the April 25 swing low of $24.49, followed by the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $24.11, which, once cleared and XAG/USD’s will challenge the $24.00 figure.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

XAG/USD Daily chart

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price 25.6
Today Daily Change -0.44
Today Daily Change % -1.69
Today daily open 26.04
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 25.23
Daily SMA50 23.37
Daily SMA100 23.3
Daily SMA200 21.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 26.06
Previous Daily Low 25.44
Previous Weekly High 25.36
Previous Weekly Low 24.49
Previous Monthly High 26.09
Previous Monthly Low 23.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 25.83
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 25.68
Daily Pivot Point S1 25.64
Daily Pivot Point S2 25.23
Daily Pivot Point S3 25.01
Daily Pivot Point R1 26.26
Daily Pivot Point R2 26.47
Daily Pivot Point R3 26.88

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD clings to daily gains above 1.0650

EUR/USD gained traction and turned positive on the day above 1.0650. The improvement seen in risk mood following the earlier flight to safety weighs on the US Dollar ahead of the weekend and helps the pair push higher.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD recovers toward 1.2450 after UK Retail Sales data

GBP/USD reversed its direction and advanced to the 1.2450 area after touching a fresh multi-month low below 1.2400 in the Asian session. The positive shift seen in risk mood on easing fears over a deepening Iran-Israel conflict supports the pair.

GBP/USD News

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold holds steady at around $2,380 following earlier spike

Gold stabilized near $2,380 after spiking above $2,400 with the immediate reaction to reports of Israel striking Iran. Meanwhile, the pullback seen in the US Treasury bond yields helps XAU/USD hold its ground.

Gold News

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in Premium

Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: BTC post-halving rally could be partially priced in

Bitcoin price shows no signs of directional bias while it holds above  $60,000. The fourth BTC halving is partially priced in, according to Deutsche Bank’s research. 

Read more

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

Week ahead – US GDP and BoJ decision on top of next week’s agenda

US GDP, core PCE and PMIs the next tests for the Dollar. Investors await BoJ for guidance about next rate hike. EU and UK PMIs, as well as Australian CPIs also on tap.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures