|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD hit YTD high at $26.08 but retreated on a bearish-engulfing pattern

  • XAG/USD is poised for five consecutive weeks of gains, up 0.81%.
  • Silver’s break below $26.00 opened the door for a test of $25.00.

Silver price reached a new YTD high at $26.08, but retraces, as traders booking profits, are forming a bearish-engulfing candle pattern, suggesting that further downside is warranted. Among technical indicators, US economic news and Fed speakers underpinned the US Dollar (USD) to the detriment of the white metal. At the time of typing, the XAG/USD is trading at $25.23, down 2.26%.

XAG/USD Price Action

The XAG/USD is still upward biased from a daily chart perspective. The emergence of a bearish candlestick pattern and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) exiting oversold territory triggered profit-taking in the white metal. Additionally, a negative divergence between XAG/USD’s price action and the Rate of Change (RoC) indicates that buying pressure is waning, exacerbating Silver’s drop below $26.00.

If XAG/USD falls below $25.00, that will pave the way toward the February 2 high at $24.63, the previous resistance turned support, followed by the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $24.20. Once cleared, the psychological $24.00 level would be next.

Conversely, for a bullish continuation, the XAG/USD needs to get above the April 13 low of $25.40, which could motivate XAG buyers to re-enter the market at solid price levels. In that case, the XAG/USD first resistance would be the YTD high at $26.08, followed by April 18, 2022, swing high at $26.21, followed by 2022 high at $26.94.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

XAG/USD Daily Chart

XAG/USD Technical Levels

 

Overview
Today last price25.16
Today Daily Change-0.66
Today Daily Change %-2.56
Today daily open25.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.82
Daily SMA5022.41
Daily SMA10022.89
Daily SMA20021.23
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.98
Previous Daily Low25.39
Previous Weekly High25.14
Previous Weekly Low23.57
Previous Monthly High24.16
Previous Monthly Low19.9
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.61
Daily Pivot Point S125.49
Daily Pivot Point S225.15
Daily Pivot Point S324.9
Daily Pivot Point R126.07
Daily Pivot Point R226.31
Daily Pivot Point R326.65

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases from around 1.1800 after US GDP figures

The US Dollar is finding some near-term demand after the release of the US Q3 GDP. According to the report, the economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the three months to September, well above the 3.3% forecast by market analysts.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD retreats from session highs and trades slightly below 1.3500 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. The US Dollar stages a rebound following the better-than-expected Q3 growth data, limiting the pair's upside ahead of the Christmas break.

Gold rises to record high above $4,500 on safe-haven flows

Gold rises and hits its record high around $4,505 during the Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal gains momentum as the Israel-Iran conflict and the rising in US-Venezuela tensions boost the safe-haven demand. Furthermore, the recent soft US inflation and cool jobs reports have fueled market expectations for at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve next year. 

The crypto market is preparing us for a deeper global sell-off

The crypto market capitalisation fell by 1.4% to $2.97T, falling below the $3T mark once again. The market was unable to repeat the robust rebound from the local bottom, as it did after 23 November and 2 December, indicating increased pressure from sellers.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Dogecoin ticks lower as low Open Interest, funding rate weigh on buyers

Dogecoin extends its decline as risk-off sentiment dominates across the crypto market. DOGE’s derivatives market remains weak amid suppressed futures Open Interest and perpetual funding rate.