|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD flirts with 23.6% Fibo., bears await break below $24.50-40 support

  • Silver extends the overnight sharp fall and drifts lower for the second successive day on Tuesday.
  • The mixed technical setup warrants caution before positioning for any further depreciating move.
  • A sustained weakness below the $24.50-40 area is needed to support prospects for deeper losses.

Silver extends the previous day's sharp retracement slide from the vicinity of the $26.00 mark and remains under heavy selling pressure for the second successive day on Tuesday. The steady intraday descent extends through the first half of the European session and drags the white metal back closer to the $25.50-$25.40 strong horizontal resistance breakpoint, now turned support.

The said area coincides with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the March-April rally, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for deeper losses. The XAG/USD might then turn vulnerable to weaken further below the $24.00 mark and aim to test 38.2% Fibo. level, around the $23.70 area. The corrective decline could get extended further towards the $23.35-$23.30 horizontal support en route to the $23.00 confluence, comprising the 50% Fibo. level and the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

Oscillators on the daily chart, meanwhile, are still holding in the positive territory and support prospects for the emergence of some dip-buying at lower levels. That said, any intraday move up might now confront resistance near the $25.00 psychological mark. Some follow-through buying has the potential to lift the XAG/USD towards the $25.50 supply zone, above which bulls could attempt to conquer the $26.00 mark. The next relevant hurdle is pegged near the $26.25-$26.30 area, which if cleared will expose the 2022 high, just ahead of the $27.00 mark.

Silver daily chart

fxsoriginal

Key levels to watch

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price24.72
Today Daily Change-0.28
Today Daily Change %-1.12
Today daily open25
 
Trends
Daily SMA2025.08
Daily SMA5023.14
Daily SMA10023.24
Daily SMA20021.6
 
Levels
Previous Daily High25.92
Previous Daily Low24.88
Previous Weekly High25.36
Previous Weekly Low24.49
Previous Monthly High26.09
Previous Monthly Low23.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%25.28
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%25.52
Daily Pivot Point S124.62
Daily Pivot Point S224.24
Daily Pivot Point S323.59
Daily Pivot Point R125.65
Daily Pivot Point R226.3
Daily Pivot Point R326.68

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).