|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD drops back under $21.50 after hotter than expected US inflation figures

  • Silver prices have pulled lower from earlier highs near $22.00 following hotter than expected US inflation data.
  • XAG/USD is back under $21.50 and eyeing a move to fresh multi-year lows under $21.00 as hawkish Fed bets build.

Spot silver (XAG/USD) prices have fallen back sharply from earlier session highs in the upper $21.00s per troy ounce and are now back to trading back under the $21.50. At current levels in the $21.40s, on-the-day gains have now been pared to about 1.0%. Just released US Consumer Price Index data showed a slower than expected moderation in the YoY rate of headline price pressures and a larger than expected jump in MoM Core price pressures in April.

The US dollar and US yields jumped as a result and this explains the recent pullback in XAG/USD. Some traders had been hoping for a moderation in inflation pressures to ease the pressure on the Fed to tighten monetary policy so aggressive this year and next. The latest data certainly doesn’t do that, hence the rebuilding of some hawkish Fed bets.

After breaking out to its lowest levels under $21.20 since mid-2020 on Tuesday, XAG/USD attempted rebound has been cut short. Should the US dollar and yields continue to press higher, a drop towards $21.00 certainly seems on the cards. A break lower would open the door to an eventual drop to the next area of key support under the $20 mark.

XAG/USd

Overview
Today last price21.52
Today Daily Change0.25
Today Daily Change %1.18
Today daily open21.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.72
Daily SMA5024.58
Daily SMA10023.92
Daily SMA20023.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.1
Previous Daily Low21.19
Previous Weekly High23.28
Previous Weekly Low22.1
Previous Monthly High26.22
Previous Monthly Low22.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.75
Daily Pivot Point S120.94
Daily Pivot Point S220.61
Daily Pivot Point S320.03
Daily Pivot Point R121.85
Daily Pivot Point R222.43
Daily Pivot Point R322.76

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

More from Joel Frank
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).