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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD drops back under $21.50 after hotter than expected US inflation figures

  • Silver prices have pulled lower from earlier highs near $22.00 following hotter than expected US inflation data.
  • XAG/USD is back under $21.50 and eyeing a move to fresh multi-year lows under $21.00 as hawkish Fed bets build.

Spot silver (XAG/USD) prices have fallen back sharply from earlier session highs in the upper $21.00s per troy ounce and are now back to trading back under the $21.50. At current levels in the $21.40s, on-the-day gains have now been pared to about 1.0%. Just released US Consumer Price Index data showed a slower than expected moderation in the YoY rate of headline price pressures and a larger than expected jump in MoM Core price pressures in April.

The US dollar and US yields jumped as a result and this explains the recent pullback in XAG/USD. Some traders had been hoping for a moderation in inflation pressures to ease the pressure on the Fed to tighten monetary policy so aggressive this year and next. The latest data certainly doesn’t do that, hence the rebuilding of some hawkish Fed bets.

After breaking out to its lowest levels under $21.20 since mid-2020 on Tuesday, XAG/USD attempted rebound has been cut short. Should the US dollar and yields continue to press higher, a drop towards $21.00 certainly seems on the cards. A break lower would open the door to an eventual drop to the next area of key support under the $20 mark.

XAG/USd

Overview
Today last price21.52
Today Daily Change0.25
Today Daily Change %1.18
Today daily open21.27
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.72
Daily SMA5024.58
Daily SMA10023.92
Daily SMA20023.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.1
Previous Daily Low21.19
Previous Weekly High23.28
Previous Weekly Low22.1
Previous Monthly High26.22
Previous Monthly Low22.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%21.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%21.75
Daily Pivot Point S120.94
Daily Pivot Point S220.61
Daily Pivot Point S320.03
Daily Pivot Point R121.85
Daily Pivot Point R222.43
Daily Pivot Point R322.76

Author

Joel Frank

Joel Frank

Independent Analyst

Joel Frank is an economics graduate from the University of Birmingham and has worked as a full-time financial market analyst since 2018, specialising in the coverage of how developments in the global economy impact financial asset

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