|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD dives below the 100/200-DMA, turns bearish, eyeing $21.00

  • Silver shifted bearish following Thursday’s daily close below the 200-DMA
  • Silver Price Analysis: A downward condition is expected with price action and RSI’s coinciding on its bearish bias.

Silver price slides below a bottom-trend line of a bearish megaphone formation and is testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at around $21.95. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD exchanges hands at $21.97.

From a daily chart perspective, XAG/USD threatens to crack the 200-day EMA, which, if accomplished, it could pave the way for further losses. In addition, oscillators turned bearish, notably the Relative Strength Index (RSI), while the Rate of Change (RoC) is almost flat, depicting that neither buyers/sellers are in control.

However, XAG/USD’s daily close below the 200-day EMA could send Silver prices diving. The next support area would be the $21.00 psychological price level, followed by the November 28 daily low of $20.87 and the November 21 low of $20.59.

As an alternate scenario, the XAG/USD’s first resistance would be the psychological $22.00 mark. A breach of the latter would expose a support-turned-resistance bottom trendline of the megaphone formation at $22.40, followed by the high of the week at $22.59.

Silver Daily Chart

Silver key technical levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price21.98
Today Daily Change-0.31
Today Daily Change %-1.39
Today daily open22.29
 
Trends
Daily SMA2023.49
Daily SMA5023.47
Daily SMA10021.77
Daily SMA20021.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High22.54
Previous Daily Low22.14
Previous Weekly High24.64
Previous Weekly Low22.29
Previous Monthly High24.55
Previous Monthly Low22.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%22.39
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%22.29
Daily Pivot Point S122.11
Daily Pivot Point S221.92
Daily Pivot Point S321.71
Daily Pivot Point R122.51
Daily Pivot Point R222.72
Daily Pivot Point R322.91

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits near a one-month top, above 0.7000 amid fresh USD selling

AUD/USD holds above 0.7000 through the Asian session, trading near a one-month high touched earlier this Monday amid renewed US Dollar selling. US bond yields decline further amid a modest pullback in crude oil prices, capping the USD recovery from a three-week low. Moreover, bets for a November RBA rate hike support the Aussie, though upside seems capped ahead of the crucial two-day FOMC meeting, starting Tuesday.

USD/JPY struggles below 157.00 on weak USD; holds above one-month low ahead of Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Monday, stalling its recovery from the lowest level since September 18, touched Friday as a further decline in US bond yields weighs on the US Dollar. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen benefits from a more hawkish BoJ, further weighing on the currency pair. The downside, however, seems limited as traders keenly await Fed and BoJ policy meetings later this week.

Gold gains at start of Fed’s policy week

Gold finds bids below $4,000 in the Asian trade on Monday. The precious metal starts the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy week on positive note, but is broadly vulnerable, being closer to its three-month low of $3,975.



Bitcoin slides below $80,000, Ethereum and XRP bears in control
Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) bears remain in control, extending losses on Monday after three straight weeks of declines. BTC slips below $80,000, while ETH and XRP follow BTC’s lead and trade lower at $2,315 and $1.30, respectively. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests weakening momentum indicators, raising the risk of a deeper correction.
CFTC Report: WTI rally runs ahead of positioning
The week in one sentence: WTI prices surged while speculative longs were cut in the week to October 20, creating the clearest price/positioning divergence. Sterling and the Canadian Dollar led the constructive currency shift, while Yen longs also rebuilt. Speculators turned less constructive on the WTI, reducing their net exposure to around 89.3K contracts.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.