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Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD Bounced at the 20-DMA, reclaims $23.00 on risk aversion

  • Silver prices bounce and cling to gains, despite a buoyant US Dollar.
  • Near-term, XAG/USD might consolidate, as mixed signals between the RSI/RoC suggest caution is warranted.

Silver is recovering some ground after falling to weekly lows during the New York session of $22.56. However, a late buying impulse keeps XAG/USD trading in the green with gains of 0.41%. At the time of writing, the XAG/USD is trading at $23.21, above its opening price, and set to finish the week with losses of 1.23%.

Silver Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The XAG/USD daily chart depicts that the non-yielding metal remains upward biased after testing an upslope support trendline drawn from November lows. However, failure to crack the latter and its confluence with the 20-day EMA triggered Silver recovery. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Rate of Change (RoC) suggest that buyers are gathering momentum, and a daily close above the December 15 close of $23.05 could keep the trend intact.

In the near-term, the XAG/USD one-hour chart suggests that Silver’s dip below $22.60 opened the door for sellers to lean onto the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $23.22 as immediate intraday resistance. Furthermore, mixed signals between the RSI – aiming upwards, and RoC – depicting buying pressure losing momentum might refrain traders from opening new positions.

Nevertheless, if XAG/USD breaks above the 200-EMA, the immediate ceiling level would be the daily pivot at $23.33, followed by the R1 pivot at $23.69. On the downside, the XAG/USD first support would be the 50-EMA at 23.16. A breach of the latter will expose December’s 15 daily low at $23.06, ahead of the $23.00 mark.

Silver Key Technical Levels

XAG/USD

Overview
Today last price23.21
Today Daily Change0.11
Today Daily Change %0.48
Today daily open23.1
 
Trends
Daily SMA2022.26
Daily SMA5020.84
Daily SMA10020.14
Daily SMA20021.22
 
Levels
Previous Daily High23.94
Previous Daily Low22.96
Previous Weekly High23.69
Previous Weekly Low22.03
Previous Monthly High22.25
Previous Monthly Low18.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%23.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%23.57
Daily Pivot Point S122.73
Daily Pivot Point S222.35
Daily Pivot Point S321.74
Daily Pivot Point R123.71
Daily Pivot Point R224.32
Daily Pivot Point R324.69

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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