|

Silver Price Analysis: XAG/USD bears setting sights on downside extension

  • Silver prices are in the throes of a fresh extension of the bearish trend. 
  • Bears are inspecting the price action closely on the 4-hour time frame.

The price of silver has offered a bearish scenario according to both the weekly and daily time frames which set prospects of a test below the monthly 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.

Should the price remain submerged below the 38.2% Fib, a weekly extension to a 50% mean reversion of the monthly bullish trend puts the $20.65s on the cards.

Meanwhile, the following is a top-down analysis which illustrates a near term trading opportunity in fading the daily correction and targeting a -0.272 Fib level of the correction:

If the price holds the 38.2%, then there are bullish prospects.

However, there is room for a further test of the to the downside according to the following analysis:

Weekly chart

As can be seen, the price is in the throes of a downside extension of the bearish correction with the price already correcting a significant portion of the impulse. 

Additionally, the weekly wick is expected to be filled in on lower time frames. 

Daily chart

The daily time frame shows that the price has also corrected a recent daily bearish impulse. 

The correction is significant enough to expect a downside extension of the impulse in the coming sessions. 

The 4-hour time frame offers a trade set-up with a 1:3 risk to reward ratio as follows:

 

As illustrated in the above chart, a sell limit, stop loss and TP market order could be placed with an entry around $23.46 to offer a 1:3 risk to reward when the price breaks towards the next expected support.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold declines despite Fed rate cut hopes as US inflation cools

Gold price keeps pushing lower below $4,350 in Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal stays in the red due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.