SEK to depreciate further if Riksbank is not hawkish next week – Commerzbank

Krona has suffered a strong depreciation since July. Antje Praefcke, FX Analyst, analyzes SEK’s outlook ahead of next week’s Riksbank meeting.

ECB coming across as much more determined compared with the Riksbank

Due to continued high inflation rates above its expectations and the risk posed by the weak currency, the Riksbank should hike the key rate next week and keep the door open for further rate steps. In my view, anything else would be a signal to the market that it is not determined enough to tackle the risks of inflation and that it is dropping behind the curve. That in turn would cause the SEK to depreciate further, thus causing inflation to become even more stubborn.

It is up to the Riksbank. I hope that it will be hawkish next week, as otherwise, I am not optimistic for the Krona, above all against the background of the ECB coming across as much more determined compared with the Riksbank.