|

Price action catalyzes the largest buying program since the summer of 2024 – TDS

CTAs were likely to buy Gold in the coming sessions in (nearly) every reasonable scenario for prices, TDS’ Senior Commodity Strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

USD's rally failes to weigh on precious metals

“We now estimate that price action overnight has been sufficiently strong to catalyze the largest buying program since the summer of 2024. As a result, CTA trend followers are set to add approximately +14% of their max size, providing a strong impulse for prices to break into new all-time highs.”

“Macro funds have replenished their war chest of dry-powder to deploy, whereas rates markets are only pricing 1.5 cuts for this year, the USD's relentless rally failed to weigh on precious metals amid signs of Mystery Buying, US10y yields have already considerably increased, and geopolitical uncertainty remains elevated, suggesting the balance of risks now implies that macro funds will redeploy their capital into the yellow metal's warm embrace.”

“Further, Gold markets have seen significant relief for EFPs without damaging flat prices.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).