|

Precious metals start a rally after soft US CPI data – TDS

Precious metals rally started after below expected US inflation data hit the market. Asian demand for Gold (XAU/USD) and Silver (XAG/USD) goes up, TDS senior commodity strategist Ryan McKay notes.

Asian demand is set to remain strong

“Below expected inflation data is compounding the precious metals rally after softer employment data had already bolstered expectations of a September start to the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting cycle. In this sense, a key macro cohort that has been on the sidelines thus far is increasingly likely to regain interest in Gold.”

“Indeed, the first evidence of renewed interest is starting to show as ETF positions continue to rise in July, after June saw the first monthly increase since May 2023. Furthermore, while Chinese Gold reserves were flat for a second consecutive month, top traders on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) have added back to their net positions, highlighting Asian demand is set to remain strong.” 

“Silver is also surging as Chinese interest has ramped up in recent weeks, with traders adding roughly +20k SHFE lots to their net position in July.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.