Gold (XAU/USD) builds on its intraday recovery from the lowest level since November 2025, touched below $3,950 earlier this Tuesday, and trades marginally higher on the day above $4,000. Any meaningful appreciation still seems elusive in the wake of a broadly firmer US Dollar. Against the backdrop of renewed Mideast tensions, mixed signals on US-Iran talks assist the USD and limit XAU/USD's upside.

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.