Oil Price Analysis: WTI stalling once again ahead of $40


  • WTI is trading 0.37% lower on Wednesday despite a draw in DoE's this afternoon.
  • Crude oil inventories dropped 7.195mln vs expectations of - 0.710mln.

Spot WTI 1-hour chart

WTI has moved lower today despite some bullish fundamental news. This week both API and DoE inventory levels showed a decline. The latter was released this afternnon (Wednesday) and produced a much larger draw than was expected. Also according to a WSJ article, Saudi Arabia are also set to start another price war with Angola and Nigeria. 

Despite all of this news, the price declined on the day and USD 40.00 per barrel seems to be a major barrier. If the price is to move lower from here it might find some support at USD 39 per barrel as the level has been used on multiple occasions in the past.

There is a wedge chart formation marked by the diagonal lines in blue. This is not the strongest formation as the bottom of the pattern has only be tested two times. If the price does break below the pattern it could be a good indication that we are in fact headed for lower levels.

The Relative Strength Index is languishing in the mid-zone. The MACD indicator is mixed as the histogram is in the red but the signal lines are above the mid-point. Overall the trend is still higher but if there is to be a break of the USD 39 level the retracement could become deeper.

WTI Technical Analysis

Additional levels

WTI

Overview
Today last price 39.95
Today Daily Change 0.11
Today Daily Change % 0.28
Today daily open 39.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 38.52
Daily SMA50 31.4
Daily SMA100 33.7
Daily SMA200 45.25
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 40.1
Previous Daily Low 38.9
Previous Weekly High 41.65
Previous Weekly Low 37.18
Previous Monthly High 41.65
Previous Monthly Low 34.45
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 39.64
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 39.36
Daily Pivot Point S1 39.13
Daily Pivot Point S2 38.42
Daily Pivot Point S3 37.93
Daily Pivot Point R1 40.32
Daily Pivot Point R2 40.81
Daily Pivot Point R3 41.52

 

 

 

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