|

NZD/USD trades above 0.7300 ahead of Fed’s speakers and New Zealand inflation

  • The New-Zealand inflation data is scheduled at 22:45 GMT. It is expected to have risen by 0.5% in the first quarter of the year.
  • NZD/USD bears want to break through the 0.7300 handle to extend the pullback lower.

The NZD/USD is trading at around 0.7330 down 0.18% after the bears tried to test the 0.7300 handle earlier in the European session but failed to break below the level. 

The kiwi has been losing steam since last week. The main driver which brought the pair close to the 0.7400 handle were encouraging comments by the Chinese President about opening up its economy to free trade along with broad-based US dollar weakness. However, the market has digested the latest market drivers and is now debating whether the 0.7400 needs to be retested or if the current pullback down should actually be extended below the 0.7300 handle.  

Meanwhile, later in the day, traders will be on the lookout for the New Zealand inflation data later on Wednesday at 22:45 GMT. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to have risen by 0.5% for the first quarter of the year. This is a tier-one macroeconomic indicator which can bring high volatility to the market. 

Coming up next in the North American session on the calendar is the Fed’s Beige Book’s report, slated at 18:00 GMT, which is not considered a market mover. Later on at 19:15 GMT, William Dudley who is the President of the New York Federal Reserve Bank will talk about monetary policy and the economic outlook at the City University of New York's Lehman College. Upbeat comments on the economy, the inflation or interest rates can give the greenback a boost. Finally later on Wednesday at 20:15, Fed’s Quarles will speak on "Navigating New Opportunities: Transatlantic Regulatory Reform” in Washington. 

NZD/USD 4-hour chart

The pair has a bearish slant. Support lies at 0.7003 low of the day and then at 0.7243 swing low. On the other hand, resistances are priced in at 0.7340 supply level and at 0.7396 cyclical high.

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).