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NZD/USD technical analysis: Near-term set-up remains in favour of bearish traders

  • The NZD/USD pair failed to capitalize on the overnight attempted positive move and met with some fresh supply on Wednesday, slipping below the 0.6400 handle to hit two-week lows in the last hour.
  • Given that the pair has been drifting lower along a descending trend-channel formation on hourly charts, the set-up remains firmly in favour of short-term bearish traders amid a modest USD uptick.

This coupled with the fact that technical indicators on hourly charts have been holding in the negative territory further reinforce the near-term bearish bias, slightly oversold conditions on the daily chart warrant some caution before placing any aggressive bets.
 
Hence, any subsequent slide below the 0.6400 round figure mark seems more likely to find decent support near the lower end of the trend-channel – currently near the 0.6380-75 region – which coincides with the post-RBNZ multi-year lows touched earlier this month.
 
On the flip side, any attempted recovery might continue to confront fresh supply near the top end of the trend-channel - currently around the 0.6430 region - which if cleared might prompt a near-term short-covering move towards reclaiming the key 0.6500 psychological mark.

NZD/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6404
Today Daily Change-0.0011
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open0.6415
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.652
Daily SMA500.6597
Daily SMA1000.6612
Daily SMA2000.6713
Levels
Previous Daily High0.643
Previous Daily Low0.6402
Previous Weekly High0.6475
Previous Weekly Low0.6421
Previous Monthly High0.6792
Previous Monthly Low0.6543
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6419
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6413
Daily Pivot Point S10.6401
Daily Pivot Point S20.6388
Daily Pivot Point S30.6373
Daily Pivot Point R10.6429
Daily Pivot Point R20.6444
Daily Pivot Point R30.6457

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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