|

NZD/USD sticks to modest gains around 0.6175-80 region, lacks follow-through ahead of US CPI

  • NZD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and is supported by subdued USD demand.
  • Bets for a June Fed rate cut and a positive risk tone keeps the USD bulls on the defensive.
  • Traders, however, seem reluctant and look to the key US CPI report for a fresh impetus.

The NZD/USD pair attracts some dip-buying during the Asian session on Tuesday, albeit lacks follow-through and remains confined within the previous day's range. Spot prices currently trade around the 0.6170-0.6175 zone and for now, seem to have stalled the recent pullback from the highest level since February 22 touched last week.

The US Dollar (USD) continues with its struggle to attract any meaningful buyers or build on its recovery from a nearly two-month low touched in reaction to mixed US jobs report on Friday amid bets for a shift in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy stance. In fact, the markets are now pricing in a greater chance that the US central bank will start cutting interest rates in June, which is reinforced by a further decline in the US Treasury bond yields. This, in turn, keeps the USD bulls on the defensive and lends some support to the NZD/USD pair.

Apart from this, a positive tone around the US equity futures is seen as another factor undermining the safe-haven Greenback and further benefitting the risk-sensitive Kiwi. Traders, however, seem reluctant to place aggressive directional bets and prefer to wait for the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures. The crucial US CPI report will play a key role in influencing market expectations about the Fed's rate cut path and drive the USD demand. This, in turn, warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move for the NZD/USD pair.

Investors this week will also confront the release of the Food Price Index from New Zealand on Wednesday, which will be followed by the US monthly Retail Sales figures and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday. This could further provide some meaningful impetus to the NZD/USD pair and possibly determine the next leg of a directional move.

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.