|

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Remains below nine-day EMA near 0.5950 psychological resistance

  • NZD/USD may initially find support near the 50-day EMA at 0.5830.
  • The 14-day RSI remaining above the 50 level suggests a sustained bullish bias.
  • A breakout above the nine-day EMA at 0.5946 could pave the way for the pair to re-enter the ascending channel.

The NZD/USD pair extends losses for the second successive session, trading around 0.5930 during European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair trades further below the ascending channel pattern.

Additionally, the NZD/SUD pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting the short-term price momentum is weaker. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still positioned above the 50 mark, suggesting the bullish bias is in play. If 14-day RSI breaks below the 50 mark, it could confirm the bearish market shift.

On the downside, the NZD/USD pair could find the initial support around the 50-day EMA at 0.5831, followed by the psychological level of 0.5800. A break below this crucial support zone could weaken the medium-term price momentum and put downward pressure on the NZD/USD pair to test support at 0.5485—a level not visited since March 2020.

The immediate barrier appears at the nine-day EMA of 0.5945, followed by the lower boundary of the ascending channel around 0.6000. A return to the channel could revive the bullish bias and support the pair to test the six-month high of 0.6038, last seen in November 2024. A sustained break above this level could open the doors to explore the area around the ascending channel’s upper boundary around 0.6280, followed by the seven-month high near 0.6350, recorded in October 2024.

NZD/USD: Daily Chart

New Zealand Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of New Zealand Dollar (NZD) against listed major currencies today. New Zealand Dollar was the weakest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.07%0.10%0.53%0.18%0.06%0.23%0.47%
EUR-0.07%0.05%0.47%0.09%0.00%0.17%0.41%
GBP-0.10%-0.05%0.46%0.07%-0.02%0.13%0.34%
JPY-0.53%-0.47%-0.46%-0.37%-0.47%-0.31%-0.11%
CAD-0.18%-0.09%-0.07%0.37%-0.11%0.06%0.26%
AUD-0.06%-0.00%0.02%0.47%0.11%0.17%0.40%
NZD-0.23%-0.17%-0.13%0.31%-0.06%-0.17%0.20%
CHF-0.47%-0.41%-0.34%0.11%-0.26%-0.40%-0.20%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the New Zealand Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent NZD (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).