|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Plunges to new YTD low as the downtrend continues

  • NZD/USD is on a downtrend, with a series of lower highs and lower lows and hit a YTD low of 0.5815.
  • For a bearish continuation, NZD/USD needs to break below 0.5815, with potential targets at 0.5800 and 0.5740.
  • In case of a reversal, the first resistance lies at 0.5900, followed by 0.5931 (50-DMA) and 0.6000.

NZD/USD dropped to a new year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.5815, though towards the New York close, it recovered some ground, finishing Thursday’s session with losses of 0.11%. As the Asian session begins, the pair extends its losses to four straight days and exchanges hands at 0.5843, down 0.08%.

The currency pair is downward biased after reaching a new cycle low and printing a series of lower highs and lower lows after hitting a multi-month high in July at around 0.6384. For a bearish continuation, the NZD/USD would need to break below 0.5815 so sellers could challenge the 0.5800 figure, followed by last year’s November 22 swing low of 0.5740.

In the event of reversing its course and aiming higher, the NZD/USD first resistance is the 0.5900 mark. A decisive break, buyers could set their sight at the 50-DMA at 0.5931 before climbing toward the 0.600 figure. The next resistance would be the 200-DMA at 0.6149.

NZD/USD Price Action – Daily chart

NZD/USD Technical Levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.5843
Today Daily Change-0.0013
Today Daily Change %-0.22
Today daily open0.5856
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.5949
Daily SMA500.5938
Daily SMA1000.6053
Daily SMA2000.6155
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.5921
Previous Daily Low0.5851
Previous Weekly High0.6056
Previous Weekly Low0.5882
Previous Monthly High0.605
Previous Monthly Low0.5847
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.5878
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.5894
Daily Pivot Point S10.5831
Daily Pivot Point S20.5806
Daily Pivot Point S30.5761
Daily Pivot Point R10.5901
Daily Pivot Point R20.5946
Daily Pivot Point R30.5971

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).