|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pessimistic technical outlook, RSI in oversold area signals might trigger a correction

  • The NZD/USD declined in Wednesday's session, continuing its bearish momentum.
  • RSI has dropped to 34, indicating oversold conditions and rising selling pressure.
  • MACD remains flat and red, suggesting a bearish trend with weakening selling pressure.

In Wednesday's session, the NZD/USD extended its recent decline, falling by 0.27% to 0.6050. The technical indicators remain bearish, indicating a continuation of the selling pressure that has dominated recent trading sessions.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen into oversold territory, with a value of 34 and a sharply declining slope. This suggests that selling pressure is increasing and that the bears are gaining strength but that a correction might be in the horizon. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is flat and red, indicating a bearish outlook. As long as the RSI remains below 50 and the MACD remains red, the technical outlook will remain bearish for the NZD/USD but sellers shouldn’t take off the table a healthy correction.

NZD/USD daily chart

The overall outlook for the NZD/USD remains bearish. The pair has been trading below key support levels for several sessions and has yet to show any signs of a recovery. The 0.6100 area where the 100 and 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) remains a key level to watch, as a consolidation below this level could open the door for a further decline towards 0.6000 while an upwards break of this level might trigger a recovery.

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hangs near three-week low, below 0.6950 as traders await US NFP report

AUD/USD hits a three-week low during the Asian session on Friday as the RBA’s dovish shift and a rout in equity markets weigh on the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, the recent slump in US bond yields to a two-month low keeps US Dollar bulls on the back foot and limits losses for the currency pair as traders look to the US NFP report for a fresh impetus.

USD/JPY bounces off three-week low; keeps the red near 157.65 as focus remains on US NFP

USD/JPY bounces off the weekly low set during the Asian session, as bears turn cautious ahead of the US NFP report due later this Friday. The upside seems limited as the recent slump in US bond yields and hopes of Iran war de-escalation undermine the US Dollar. Moreover, a hawkish BoJ and intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, capping the pair.

Gold loses the grip; $4,000 comes next on the downside

Gold sets aside two daily advances in a row on Friday, opening the door to a potential test of the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce. The precious metal’s retracement follows a decent improvement in the sentiment surrounding the US Dollar, solid NFP data and higher US Treasury yields across the board.

Democrats win House and Senate in US midterms: Why isn’t all bad news for crypto

The biggest story this week was Tuesday’s US midterm elections, which saw Democrats win control of both the House and the Senate in a clear blue wave. This political shift in the US has triggered sharp price swings across the cryptocurrency market.

Week ahead – Inflation and geopolitics in focus as US political landscape shifts

Post-midterm election euphoria fizzles out as risk aversion prevails. US CPI, PPI and Fedspeak on the radar as Fed hike bets remain supported. Oil retreat pauses on mixed hopes about the ongoing conflicts.

US Dollar breaks below 101.50 as Democrats sweep Congress
The US Dollar (USD) comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling around 0.5% to trade near 101.35 after sliding below the 101.50 level. The Greenback retreats to its lowest level in four weeks as investors reassess the political and economic outlook following the Democratic Party's sweeping victory in the United States (US) midterm elections.