|

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Pair struggles at 20-day SMA as selling pressure builds

  • NZD/USD dips 0.30% on Monday, trading near 0.5640 amid renewed downside pressure.
  • The pair is testing support at the 20-day SMA, a key threshold for short-term direction.
  • RSI declines in negative territory, while MACD histogram shows weakening bullish momentum.

The NZD/USD pair saw a mild decline on Monday, slipping to 0.5640 as selling pressure persisted. Despite previous attempts to hold above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), the pair remains vulnerable, with a decisive breakdown of this level likely to accelerate downside risks.

Technical indicators highlight fading bullish momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined sharply to 47, dipping back into negative territory, which suggests a weakening recovery attempt. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram prints decreasing green bars, reinforcing a slowdown in buying interest.

With the 20-day SMA around 0.5650 acting as a pivotal level, a confirmed break below this mark could push NZD/USD toward the next support at 0.5610. On the flip side, a bounce above 0.5675 would help stabilize sentiment and keep buyers engaged in the short term.

NZD/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.