NZD/USD marches towards 0.6500 despite renewed NZ recession fears, US PCE eyed


  • NZD/USD is advancing towards 0.6500 as DXY weakness ahead of US PCE.
  • The antipodean is performing stronger despite renewed fears of recession.
  • A consecutive 50 bps interest rate hike has been announced by the RBNZ.

The NZD/USD pair has displayed a bullish open drive move in the early Tokyo session, following a bullish Wednesday. The asset is rising swiftly after hitting a low of 0.6418. The kiwi bulls got strengthened after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) elevated its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 50 basis points (bps).  

To combat the soaring inflation, the RBNZ announced a consecutive interest rate hike by 50 bps on Wednesday. The RBNZ is not taking the bullet and passing on the impact of mounting inflationary pressures. Officially, the OCR has reached 2% and the central bank sees more policy tightening in order to curb the price pressures. In the first quarter of CY2022, the annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) was recorded at 6.9%, significantly higher than the targeted boundary of 2%.

While deploying its quantitative measures to safeguard the economy from galloping price pressure, the RBNZ has pressed the recession button. RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr in his speech dictated that a period of recession cannot be ruled out however he is not predicting one. The economy will observe the growth headwinds as elevating interest rates will tighten the liquidity leakage into the economy.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is dragging lower and may hit the round-level support of 102.00. The market participants are cautious ahead of the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE). A stabled figure of 7% is expected from the core PCE numbers.

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6485
Today Daily Change 0.0014
Today Daily Change % 0.22
Today daily open 0.6471
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 0.6397
Daily SMA50 0.6674
Daily SMA100 0.6701
Daily SMA200 0.6835
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 0.648
Previous Daily Low 0.6423
Previous Weekly High 0.6417
Previous Weekly Low 0.6229
Previous Monthly High 0.7035
Previous Monthly Low 0.6451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 0.6458
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 0.6445
Daily Pivot Point S1 0.6436
Daily Pivot Point S2 0.6401
Daily Pivot Point S3 0.6379
Daily Pivot Point R1 0.6493
Daily Pivot Point R2 0.6515
Daily Pivot Point R3 0.655

 

 

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