|

NZD/USD loses ground following Chinese and American economic activity data

  • NZD/USD trades with losses below 0.6000, its lowest in nine months.
  • China reported weak Retail Sales and  Industrial Production data from July.
  • American Retail Sales from the US were higher than expected.

In Tuesday’s session, the NZD/USD traded lower, mainly driven by China’s fragile economic situation. On the other hand, the USD, despite solid Retail Sales data, the USD trades weakly and consolidates the previous session's gains. Eyes on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) decision, expected to hold rates at 5.5%.

Investors digest Retail Sales figures from the US and China

US Retail Sales came in higher than expected. The headline rose by 0.7% MoM, higher than the 0.4% expected. Sales Excluding the Automobile sector also met expectations and came in at 1% vs the 0.4% expected. The USD gained some traction as a reaction, but the DXY remains in negative territory and is consolidating, as well as the US Treasury yields.

On the other hand, the Kiwi is losing traction amid the worrying economic situation. On Monday, real-state downturn figures applied selling pressure and was exacerbated on Tuesday following weak Retail Sales and Industrial Production from July. Focus now shift to the RBNZ decision on Wednesday, where markets expect the bank to hold rates steady at 5.5%.


NZD/USD Levels to watch

Observing the daily chart, NZD/USD suggests a bearish sentiment for the near term. The relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in the negative zone below its midline, near oversold conditions. Concurrently, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reflects rising red bars, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Furthermore, the pair is below the 20,100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), indicating a challenging position for the buyers in the bigger picture as the bears remain in command.

Support levels: 0.5950, 0.5930, 0.5920.

Resistance levels: 0.6000, 0.6020, 0.6050.

NZD/USD Daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold clings to daily gains; focus is back to $4,400

Gold picks up pace and advances past the $4,350 mark per troy ounce, adding to Friday’s gains. That said, the yellow metal keeps pushing harder despite the better tone in the US Dollar, and is closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East

Bitcoin vs Gold Overview: XAU tests breakout, BTC slides as Trump claims Iran negotiations
The cryptocurrency market shows signs of trimming gains accrued last week as Bitcoin (BTC) slides below $65,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, hovering above $4,350.
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.