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NZD/USD jumps 20 pips as New Zealand lowers unemployment forecast

  • The NZD finds buyers as Prefu sees a lower unemployment rate for the June quarter. 
  • NZD/USD jumps 20 pips to hit session highs above 0.6720. 
  • Risk-on could power stronger gains in the New Zealand currency. 

The New Zealand dollar is drawing bids and pushing the NZD/USD pair with New Zealand's pre-election economic and fiscal update (Prefu) lowering the peak jobless rate forecast to 7.8% from 9.8% projected in the budget. 

The pre-election update also revised the June quarter gross domestic product (GDP) forecast to -16% from the previous projection of -23.5%. 

"The initial economic impact of COVID-19, while still large, has been less severe than anticipated in the Budget Update, with a faster-than-expected move down alert levels, and high-frequency activity indicators suggesting activity has picked up sooner than expected," the report said. 

However, inflation is likely to remain low due to weaker commodity prices and a strong exchange rate, the report added. So far, however, markets have ignored the dismal inflation forecast. 

The NZD/USD pair has risen from 0.6702 to 0.6722 on the pre-election update but remains well below Tuesday's high of 0.6737. However, that level could come into play during the day ahead if risk sentiment remains strong, keeping the safe-haven greenback under pressure. 

The futures tied to the S&P 500 are currently trading flat. Analysts at JPMorgan believe the stock market pullback has ended, according to Bloomberg. 

Technical levels

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6722
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open0.6714
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6657
Daily SMA500.6625
Daily SMA1000.6458
Daily SMA2000.6391
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6737
Previous Daily Low0.6683
Previous Weekly High0.6724
Previous Weekly Low0.6601
Previous Monthly High0.6764
Previous Monthly Low0.6488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6716
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6704
Daily Pivot Point S10.6686
Daily Pivot Point S20.6657
Daily Pivot Point S30.6632
Daily Pivot Point R10.674
Daily Pivot Point R20.6765
Daily Pivot Point R30.6794

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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