|

NZD/USD hits 2-week lows, back to 0.7200 handle amid stronger US dollar

  • NZD/USD back to the 0.7200 handle on stronger USD 
  • Last week’s long NZD/USD trade on upbeat China’s President comments has now been totally retraced.

The NZD/USD is trading at around 0.7206 down 0.88% on Friday.

The NZD/USD is falling for the fourth day in a row and has now tested its 100-period simple moving average on the daily time frame at 0.7213.

The recent drop down in the kiwi is mainly attributed to US dollar strength. US bond yields are spiking to multi-week highs, which in turns boosts the greenback as more investors turn to US bonds exacerbating the USD demand. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is currently trading at 90.26 which is a level not seen since early April.

Last week move higher in the kiwi close to the 0.7400 handle was mainly driven by enthusiasm on the back of the comments of the Chinese President. Xi Jinping said that he wanted to push for free trade and open up its economy to foreign investments. He also spoke about lowering tariffs on the auto industry. However, later on, the upbeat comments were denied by a Chinese official who said that China would still retaliate in a trade war environment. Since China is a top trading partner with New Zealand, any news that affects China also generally affects the NZD. 

Earlier on Wednesday, the New Zealand inflation numbers for the first quarter of the year came in line with expectations. The kiwi had a 30-pip intraday boost up but quickly resumed its downtrend as the data had no strong deviation to the upside and the general sentiment had shifted to bearish for the kiwi. 

NZD/USD 4-hour chart

Support is priced in at 0.7188 swing low and at 0.7153 cyclical low, while resistance is seen at 0.7244 swing low and 0.7350 swing high and at 0.7396 cyclical high. 

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD falls to near 1.1700 due to safe-haven demand

EUR/USD extends its losses, trading around 1.1710 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the US Dollar strengthens on safe-haven demand, driven by a renewed rise in geopolitical risks following the United States’ capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro.

GBP/USD trades with modest losses below mid-1.3400s as geopolitical tensions lift USD

The GBP/USD pair opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and trades just below mid-1.3400s during the Asian session, down 0.10% for the day. Spot prices, however, lack follow-through selling and manage to hold above last week's swing low amid mixed fundamental cues.

Gold jumps over 1.5% to near $4,400 on US-Venezuela tensions

Gold holds sizeable gains near $4,400 in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The traditional safe-haven metal capitalizes on escalating geopolitical risks after the United States' capture of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Traders will closely monitor developments surrounding the US seizure of Maduro and await the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index data later on Monday. 

Powerful guide to ISM, building permits, NFP and Silver technicals

Next week is important for U.S. markets. We get key economic data that can move stocks, bonds, and the dollar. The main reports are ISM Manufacturing, ISM Services, Building Permits, and Non-Farm Payrolls. Traders will watch these closely.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).