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NZD/USD flirts with the top end of over one-week-old trading range, around 0.6400 mark

  • NZD/USD edges higher on Tuesday, though lacks follow-through buying beyond 0.6400.
  • The upbeat Chinese macro data lends support, though a combination of factors cap gains.
  • Recession fears, a modest USD strength keeps a lid on any meaningful upside for the pair.

The NZD/USD pair gains some positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday, though struggles to capitalize on the move beyond the 0.6400 round-figure mark. Spot prices remain confined in a familiar trading range held over the past one-and-half week or so.

The better-than-expected Chinese economic data fueled optimism over a recovery in the world's second-largest economy and lends some support to the NZD/USD pair. In fact, China's recorded a  growth of 2.9% during the fourth quarter and Industrial Production surpassed estimates. Furthermore, Retail Sales shrank less than anticipated and pointed to a positive trend among consumers.

That said, the worst yet COVID-19 outbreak in China continues to weigh on investors' sentiment. This is evident from a softer tone around the equity markets, which benefits the safe-haven US Dollar and acts as a headwind for the risk-sensitive Kiwi. This, in turn, warrants some caution for aggressive bullish traders and positioning for any meaningful appreciating move for the NZD/USD pair.

The USD uptick, meanwhile, is more likely to remain capped amid growing acceptance that the Fed will soften its hawkish stance amid signs of easing inflationary pressures. Moreover, several Fed officials backed the case for smaller rate hikes and reaffirmed bets for a 25 lift-off in February. This should keep a lid on the buck and limit the downside for the NZD/USD pair, at least for now.

The mixed fundamental backdrop might hold back traders from placing directional bets around the NZD/USD pair and supports prospects for an extension of the range-bound price action. Moving ahead, Tuesday's US economic docket features the release of the Empire State Manufacturing Index. This, along with the broader risk sentiment, might influence the USD and provide some impetus.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price0.6397
Today Daily Change0.0017
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open0.638
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.6324
Daily SMA500.6276
Daily SMA1000.6051
Daily SMA2000.6208
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.6427
Previous Daily Low0.6361
Previous Weekly High0.6418
Previous Weekly Low0.6314
Previous Monthly High0.6514
Previous Monthly Low0.623
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.6386
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.6402
Daily Pivot Point S10.6351
Daily Pivot Point S20.6323
Daily Pivot Point S30.6285
Daily Pivot Point R10.6417
Daily Pivot Point R20.6455
Daily Pivot Point R30.6484

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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