|

NZD/USD bears going for the reversal as the Kiwi rejected 0.74 handle

  • NZD/USD is weakening as the US dollar is gaining some traction. 
  • Recent comments made by Chinese spokesman suggest that US-China trade war is not over just yet.

The NZD/USD is trading at around 0.7359 down 0.22% on Friday as the bears are challenging the 0.7359 level which is Thursday’s opening price. 

This week the NZD has re-conquered levels which were not seen since mid-March trading as high as 0.7396 on Friday April 13. However the kiwi is losing some steam as comments on Thursday by Gao Feng, commerce ministry spokesman in China, said that “it would be misleading to say Xi's pledge this week was a concession to the United States. China will not hesitate to fight back if the U.S. escalates the trade spat.”  

New-Zealand is a major trade partner with China. This week the NZD was boosted by the easing of tensions in the US-China trade war. On Tuesday, Chinese President Xi Jinping said that he was willing to open up its economy to free trade and lower tariffs to US automakers among others.  

The recent news from the US has strengthened the US dollar. The core annualized inflation for March was at 2.1% above the 2% target by the Fed. Additionally, the FOMC minutes were rather hawkish with all members agreeing that it was appropriate to hike rates gradually. 

Coming up next on Friday is the speech of the FOMC member Kaplan at 17:00 GMT. Earlier the preliminar readings for the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for April came in worst-than-expected as well as the JOLTS Job Openings for February. The data didn’t affect the US dollar in a significant manner.   

NZD/USD 4-hour chart

The bears are trying to reverse the current bull trend. Resistance is at the 0.74 figure and swing high, followed by 0.7440 swing high made in mid-February. Looking down, supports lie at 0.7344 swing low and 0.7323 swing high.

Author

Flavio Tosti

Flavio Tosti

Independent Analyst

 

More from Flavio Tosti
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.