|

NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears seize control, key 20-day SMA broken breached

  • NZD/JPY ended Thursday's session with a significant decline.
  • The bears successfully pushed the pair below the crucial 20-day SMA, signaling a shift in command.

In Thursday's trading session, the NZD/JPY pair dropped substantially, losing 1.40% to land at 96.80. The pair slipped below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of 97.70, indicating a negative outlook in the short-term as the outlook is now somewhat bearish at least for the short-term.

On the daily chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) plummeted to 44. This swift shift towards negative territory suggests a decline in market momentum, and it is important to note that the RSI shifted from nearly overbought terrain to below the middle point. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also adds weight to this bearish scenario, registering rising red bars indicative of decreased buying momentum.

NZD/JPY daily chart

In light of the bearish turn, immediate support levels are now set at 96.50, 96.00, and further down to 95.00. In contrast, resistance is now likely to be encountered at previous support levels of 97.00, 97.70 (20-day SMA), and 98.00.

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD treads water just below 1.3300

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses just below 1.3300 the figure on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to build recovery momentum as the Greenback benefits from a cautious market mood ahead of the Fed’s meeting on Wednesday and the BoE’s gathering on Thursday.

EUR/USD turns positive past 1.1370

EUR/USD rebounds from earlier multi-week lows and flirts with the 1.1380 zone, up marginally for the day on Tuesday. Uncertainty surrounding the US-Iran conflict weighs on risk sentiment and caps the pair’s upside, while investors avoid taking large positions ahead of the highly anticipated Fed meeting on Wednesday.

Gold closes in on $4,000 ahead of FOMC decision

Gold (XAU/USD) maintains its offered on Tuesday and declines toward the $4,000 psychological level. This follows the previous day's failure to find acceptance above the $4,100 mark and suggests that the path of least resistance for the bullion remains to the downside amid a bullish US Dollar (USD), which draws support from escalating geopolitical tensions ahead of the cricital FOMC meeting.

Bitcoin slips below $64,000 as risk-off sentiment grips markets
Bitcoin (BTC) is extending its correction, trading below $64,000 at the time of writing on Tuesday after losses of over 2.5% the previous day. Institutional demand shows early signs of weakness, with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a mild outflow on Monday, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals.
Indian Rupee outlook: Downtrend set to persist – Just at a slower pace
The Indian Rupee just endured its most brutal six-month stretch in years, battered by a perfect storm of global shocks. From United States (US)-India trade uncertainty to surging Oil prices and the significant outflow of Foreign Institutional Investment (FII) from the Indian stock market, every event brought nothing but pain for the Indian currency.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.