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NZD/JPY Price Analysis: Bears assert their presence, outlook still positive

  • The NZD/JPY is currently at 90.46 with mild losses.
  • Despite indicators suggesting negative momentum, the overall trend is in favor of the bulls.
  • The four-hour chart stresses a more evident negative outlook.

On Friday's trading session, the NZD/JPY pair was spotted around 90.46, enduring mild losses. The neutral to bearish prevalence on the daily chart complexity informs that sellers are gradually asserting dominance, while the four-hour chart indicates an increasingly notable negative tilt.

The indicators on the daily chart, namely the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and moving averages, are showing mixed signals but overall negative ones. The RSI's trajectory appears downward-bound inside the positive area, suggesting some buying exhaustion, while the MACD histogram displays fading green short bars, reinforcing the weakened bullish impulse. Moreover, the currency pair manages to stay above the key Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) of 20, 100, and 200, signaling a bull-dominated broader time frame, although some struggle is apparent for the short term.

Downscaling to the four-hour chart portrays a significantly more bearish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) pursues a southward direction within the negative domain, an evident indication of increased bearish propulsion. This is further confirmed by the fading green bars of the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which suggests that the bulls are ceding ground to the bears, at least in the short term. The intensified selling momentum in this lower time frame might impose a tug of war with the broader bullish bias, suggesting a potential period of further downside.

NZD/JPY technical levels

NZD/JPY

Overview
Today last price90.46
Today Daily Change-0.15
Today Daily Change %-0.17
Today daily open90.61
 
Trends
Daily SMA2089.68
Daily SMA5089.78
Daily SMA10088.81
Daily SMA20087.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High90.99
Previous Daily Low90.56
Previous Weekly High90.55
Previous Weekly Low88.64
Previous Monthly High91.52
Previous Monthly Low87.69
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%90.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%90.82
Daily Pivot Point S190.45
Daily Pivot Point S290.29
Daily Pivot Point S390.03
Daily Pivot Point R190.88
Daily Pivot Point R291.15
Daily Pivot Point R391.31

NZD/JPY daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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