More USD softness ahead in the next few weeks and perhaps beyond – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The USD is ending the week and starting the month somewhat on the defensive versus most major currencies. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Dollar’s outlook.

Relatively light data schedule ahead of the weekend for US markets

Despite Thursday’s recovery in the USD, headwinds – lower yields specifically but seasonal trends in December and broadly bearish technicals – all suggest more USD softness ahead in the next few weeks and perhaps beyond.

There is a relatively light data schedule ahead of the weekend for US markets (just Construction Spending and ISM Manufacturing). But the calendar is beefed up substantially by speaking engagements for Fed Governor Goolsbee, Chairman Powell and Governor Cook). These are the last scheduled Fed comments ahead of the blackout for the December 13th FOMC.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.1800 ahead of US data

EUR/USD finds it difficult to gather recovery momentum and retreats below 1.1800 in the second half of the day on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) stays resilient against its peers after the hawkish surprise in FOMC Minutes, weighing on the pair ahead of the next batch of US data.

GBP/USD recovers above 1.3500 amid better mood

GBP/USD finds fresh demand and rises back above 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday. Improving risk sentiment and renewed US Dollar weakness are helping the pair recover ground ahead of mid-tier US data releases and Fedspeak.

Gold retreats from daily highs, trades below $5,000

Gold finds it difficult to stabilize above the $5,000 psychological mark on Thursday and trades slightly below this level in the early American session. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East help XAU/USD hold its ground, while the broad-based USD strength caps the pair's upside.

Injective token surges over 13% following the approval of the mainnet upgrade proposal

Injective price rallies over 13% on Thursday after the network confirmed the approval of its IIP-619 proposal. The green light for the mainnet upgrade has boosted traders’ sentiment, as the upgrade aims to scale Injective’s real-time Ethereum Virtual Machine architecture and enhance its capabilities to support next-generation payments. The technical outlook suggests further gains if INJ breaks above key resistance.

Hawkish Fed minutes and a market finding its footing

It was green across the board for US Stock market indexes at the close on Wednesday, with most S&P 500 names ending higher, adding 38 points (0.6%) to 6,881 overall. At the GICS sector level, energy led gains, followed by technology and consumer discretionary, while utilities and real estate posted the largest losses.