|

JPY: BoJ to hike the interest rate – ING

USD/JPY is edging lower this morning as Bank of Japan (BOJ) dove Toyoaki Nakamura says that he's not averse to a rate hike. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is performing well on the crosses as the prospect of a BoJ rate hike stands at odds with monetary easing underway elsewhere in the G10, ING’s FX analysts Chris Turner notes.

USD weakness to be most visible in USD/JPY

“This follows much market oscillation on whether the BoJ would pull the trigger on a rate hike this month. We think it will and that tomorrow's October Japanese wage data will support that call.”

“The yen is performing well on the crosses as the prospect of a BoJ rate hike stands at odds with monetary easing underway elsewhere in the G10. This week's events in Korea have also added to the safe-haven buying of the yen. We are bullish on the dollar, but should tomorrow's US NFP data disappoint, dollar weakness should be most visible in USD/JPY.” 

“However, a weaker EUR/JPY looks the cleaner trend here and a cross rate like SEK/JPY has already hit the target we put out as part of our calls for 2025.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).