Jobs data may send stock prices lower, but the trend is still up

Stock prices went sideways following their Wednesday’s rally. Was that a short-term topping pattern?

The S&P 500 index lost 0.09% on Thursday, as it fluctuated following its Wednesday’s rally of 3.1%. The market broke higher after Jerome Powell’s dovish speech. Yesterday the broad stock market’s gauge was the highest since September 12, but it bounced down from the 4,100 level.

This morning the S&P 500 is expected to open 1.5% lower following better than expected Nonfarm Payrolls release. The market will likely retrace some of its Wednesday’s rally, at least at the opening of the trading session. The index continues to trade above its two-month-long upward trend line, as we can see on the daily chart:

Futures contract is closer to 4,000 again

Let’s take a look at the hourly chart of the S&P 500 futures contract. It broke below its narrow consolidation along the 4,100 level. The support level is at 3,950-4,000.

Conclusion

The broad stock market will likely open much lower this morning. On Wednesday it rallied over 3% and yesterday it traded within a consolidation. So it will retrace some of the advance, and we may see more short-term uncertainty.

Here’s the breakdown:

The S&P 500 paused its rally yesterday, and today it will likely retrace some of it.
It still looks like a consolidation following a rally from the October low.

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All essays, research and information found above represent analyses and opinions of Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and Sunshine Profits' employees and associates only. As such, it may prove wrong and be a subject to change without notice. Opinions and analyses were based on data available to authors of respective essays at the time of writing. Although the information provided above is based on careful research and sources that are believed to be accurate, Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA and his associates do not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. The opinions published above are neither an offer nor a recommendation to purchase or sell any securities. Mr. Radomski is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading Przemyslaw Radomski's, CFA reports you fully agree that he will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make regarding any information provided in these reports. Investing, trading and speculation in any financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA, Sunshine Profits' employees and affiliates as well as members of their families may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in any of the reports or essays, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.