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Indian Rupee Price News and Forecast: USD/INR is trapped in a 30 paise range

RBI to shift its policy stance from accommodative to neutral

Analysts at ING Bank believe that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is likely to shift stance from accommodative to neutral in the next policy even though the rate-setting panel may refrain from cutting rates this year.

Key Quotes: “We consider 7% GDP growth a pre-requisite for the RBI to unwind some of its recent policy easing. That’s not on our forecasting horizon out to 2021. A shift in the policy stance to neutral from accommodative is a reasonable starting point for the central bank's next policy meeting in early February.”

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USD/INR Price Analysis: Rupee is trapped in a 30 paise range

Indian Rupee is lacking a clear direction bias since Jan. 13. The currency is largely trapped in the 30 paise trading range of 70.70 per US dollar to 71.00 per US dollar, as seen on the hourly line chart. A channel breakdown would imply a continuation of the sell-off from recent highs near 72.00 and could bring a deeper drop toward 70.00. 

On the flip side, resistance near 70.22 will likely be put to test if the channel is breached to the higher side. Brent oil seems to have formed a temporary bottom below $64 and looks set for a notable price bounce. 

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USD/INR

Overview
Today last price70.9675
Today Daily Change-0.0149
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open70.9824
 
Trends
Daily SMA2071.2498
Daily SMA5071.3522
Daily SMA10071.262
Daily SMA20070.5067
 
Levels
Previous Daily High71.1675
Previous Daily Low70.6925
Previous Weekly High72.57
Previous Weekly Low70.8485
Previous Monthly High71.98
Previous Monthly Low70.328
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%70.9861
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%70.8739
Daily Pivot Point S170.7274
Daily Pivot Point S270.4725
Daily Pivot Point S370.2524
Daily Pivot Point R171.2024
Daily Pivot Point R271.4225
Daily Pivot Point R371.6774

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