|

IEA: Global Oil supply could exceed demand by around 600,000 bpd this year

In its monthly oil market report published on Thursday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said that “global oil supply could exceed demand by around 600,000 barrels per day (bpd) this year.

Additional takeaways

2025 world oil demand growth forecast seen at 1.03 million bpd (previously 1.10 mil bpd).

The surplus could widen further by 400,000 bpd if OPEC+ extends the unwinding of its output cuts..

US forecast to be the largest source of supply growth in 2025.

Global oil supply rose by 240,000 b/d in February on month.

US tariffs will act as barriers to global trade, economic growth in 2025.

OPEC+ might add 40,000 bpd to the market in April instead of 138,000 bpd.

IEA raises 2025 non-OPEC+ supply growth estimate to 1.5 millon bpd from 1.4 million bpd.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3550

GBP/USD adds to Friday’s advance, briefly hitting three-month tops near 1.3570 before edging lower on Monday. Fading expectations of a Fed rate hike in September weigh on the Greenback, helping Cable to keep its bullish momentum ahead of the release of the UK jobs report on Tuesday.

EUR/USD: Gains appear capped by 1.1600

EUR/USD consolidates its daily gains well north of the 1.1500 hurdle following the closing bell on Wall Street on Monday. The pair’s multi-day bounce comes on the back of renewed selling pressure on the US Dollar investors continue to trim bets of Fed rate hikes. Moving forward, Germany’s ZEW prints are due on Tuesday alongside a slew of US hard data.

Gold loses some traction, still above $4,400

Gold faces some loss of momentum and slips back toward the vicinity of the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The yellow metal adds to Friday’s uptick and its positive performance follows the steady offered stance in the US Dollar amid dwindling bets for further tightening by the Fed in the next few months.

Strategy pauses Bitcoin sales, increases USD Reserve to $4.8 billion
Bitcoin (BTC) treasury firm Strategy (MSTR) increased its USD Reserve to $4.8 billion after raising $333.7 million through common stock sales, while also repurchasing $132.2 million of its STRC preferred shares, according to a Form 8-K filing on Monday. Strategy sold 3.458 million shares of its Class A common stock, MSTR, last week, generating $333.7 million in net proceeds.
Economists agree: Fed to leave interest rates unchanged this year – Reuters poll

A large majority of economists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in September and for the rest of this year, according to a Reuters poll conducted between August 12 and 17.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.