Goldman Sachs lowers USD/JPY 12-month forecast to 105.00

In the latest note, Goldman Sachs’ (GS) analysts revised up their forecasts on the Japanese currency, the JPY, over the coming months, implying that they see a lower USD/JPY ahead.
Key Points:
GS lowered USD/JPY 3-month forecast to 108 vs. the previous forecast at 112, 6-month forecast to 107 vs. 110 previous and the 12-month forecast to 105 vs. 108 previous.
They cited the following reasons for the downward revision:
US real rates are seen falling further.
JPY should be held as a portfolio hedge.
Less hawkish Fed.
The market expects slower US growth.
Chance of a US / China trade truce has improved.
Author

Dhwani Mehta
FXStreet
Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

















