|

Gold: Supported above the confluence of S1 and the 21.6% Fibo

  • Spot gold remains supported above the confluence of S1 and the 21.6% Fibo retracement of the latest rally.
  • Currently, gold is consolidating at $1,221/oz, slightly above the pivot and will continue to take cues from the stock markets and investor's risk appetite. 

There were a recent combination short covering and a flight to safety that lead to gold's rapid increase in price with the precious metal climbing through the descending channel's resistance to set a fresh high of $1,226/oz up from $1,180 recent double bottom lows. 

However, US equity markets set a firmer tone on Friday with respect to investor risk appetite which leaves gold bulls exposed to the risk of a deeper correction should market's continue to recover - Gold had already retreated back to $1,216 which has been marked out by the bears in the last two full day's of trade since its advance. 

Geopolitics just rose to a new risk level 

Eyes will stay focussed on US rates, the US dollar and stock markets with investor sentiment on shaky grounds considering the heightened tensions with respect to global trade relations and geopolitical risks. Just as it appears relations between Washington and Turkey are on the mend, it seems Trump now shifts his attention over to the Saudis following the apparent murder and dismemberment of US-based journalist Khashoggi by the state - Analysts at Rabobank explained that Trump has talked about “severe punishment” and noted publicly that without US help the Saudi regime would not last two weeks - "However, Saudi Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS), who is widely regarded as a dangerous double-or-quits gambler in terms of foreign policy, is not backing down."

Gold levels

On fresh buying, the next Fibo extension is located at $1,235.02 as the161.8% Fib. On the flip side, the 50% Fibo of the 8th Oct bid falls in at $1,204. On route, the 38.2% Fibo is located around $1,209. To the upside,  $1,320 and the $1,236 are key objectives through the rising trendline support through $1,281, 28. May low.


 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.