|

Gold: Supported above the confluence of S1 and the 21.6% Fibo

  • Spot gold remains supported above the confluence of S1 and the 21.6% Fibo retracement of the latest rally.
  • Currently, gold is consolidating at $1,221/oz, slightly above the pivot and will continue to take cues from the stock markets and investor's risk appetite. 

There were a recent combination short covering and a flight to safety that lead to gold's rapid increase in price with the precious metal climbing through the descending channel's resistance to set a fresh high of $1,226/oz up from $1,180 recent double bottom lows. 

However, US equity markets set a firmer tone on Friday with respect to investor risk appetite which leaves gold bulls exposed to the risk of a deeper correction should market's continue to recover - Gold had already retreated back to $1,216 which has been marked out by the bears in the last two full day's of trade since its advance. 

Geopolitics just rose to a new risk level 

Eyes will stay focussed on US rates, the US dollar and stock markets with investor sentiment on shaky grounds considering the heightened tensions with respect to global trade relations and geopolitical risks. Just as it appears relations between Washington and Turkey are on the mend, it seems Trump now shifts his attention over to the Saudis following the apparent murder and dismemberment of US-based journalist Khashoggi by the state - Analysts at Rabobank explained that Trump has talked about “severe punishment” and noted publicly that without US help the Saudi regime would not last two weeks - "However, Saudi Prince Mohammad Bin Salman (MBS), who is widely regarded as a dangerous double-or-quits gambler in terms of foreign policy, is not backing down."

Gold levels

On fresh buying, the next Fibo extension is located at $1,235.02 as the161.8% Fib. On the flip side, the 50% Fibo of the 8th Oct bid falls in at $1,204. On route, the 38.2% Fibo is located around $1,209. To the upside,  $1,320 and the $1,236 are key objectives through the rising trendline support through $1,281, 28. May low.


 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.