Gold slips back closer to overnight swing low, below $1415 level

The prevalent risk-on mood undermined the commodity’s safe-haven status.
Fed rate cut expectations/subdued USD demand does little to lend any support.
The downside seems limited amid US holiday and ahead of Friday’s NFP report.

Haresh Menghani FXStreet

Gold prices edged lower on Thursday and dropped back closer to the previous session swing low, around the $1413 region.

Tracking the overnight solid gains on Wall Street - with all the three major indices posting record closing highs, Asian stocks advanced on Thursday and turned out to be one of the key factors undermining the precious metal's relative safe-haven demand.

The incoming softer US economic data - Wednesday's ADP report and ISM non-manufacturing PMI being the latest, reinforced market expectations that the Fed will eventually move to cut interest rates this month and boosted investors' appetite for perceived riskier assets - like equities.

However, a subdued US Dollar demand might extend some support to the dollar-denominated commodity. This coupled with the recent slump in the US Treasury bond yields to more than 2-1/2 year lows might further collaborate towards limiting the downside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through selling before confirming that the commodity might have already topped out near the $1440 region and positioning for any further near-term corrective slide as the focus now shifts to Friday's closely watched US monthly jobs report (NFP).

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1414.31
Today Daily Change	-4.47
Today Daily Change %	-0.32
Today daily open	1418.78

Trends
Daily SMA20	1373.8
Daily SMA50	1322.39
Daily SMA100	1312.06
Daily SMA200	1281.68

Levels
Previous Daily High	1436.2
Previous Daily Low	1412.5
Previous Weekly High	1438.66
Previous Weekly Low	1399.33
Previous Monthly High	1438.66
Previous Monthly Low	1306.18
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1421.55
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1427.15
Daily Pivot Point S1	1408.78
Daily Pivot Point S2	1398.79
Daily Pivot Point S3	1385.08
Daily Pivot Point R1	1432.48
Daily Pivot Point R2	1446.19
Daily Pivot Point R3	1456.18

Author

Haresh Menghani

FXStreet

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

GBP/USD clings to multi-day peaks below 1.3500

GBP/USD trades with marked gains on Friday, now giving away some gains following an earlier surpass of the key 1.3500 yardstick. Indeed, Cable gathers fresh steam amid the strong offered stance in the Greenback, all after US NFP badly missed expectations in July.

EUR/USD: Post-NFP bounce falters around 1.1580

EUR/USD reverses Thursday’s decline and trades with solid gains in the 1.1560 region, or two-month peaks, on Friday. The pair’s firm performance comes in a context of a sharp correction in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess disheartening US NFP readings.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

XRP Price Forecast: XRP nears critical $1.00 support

Ripple (XRP) remains pressured on Friday, trading around $1.03 at the time of writing. The token appears to hold this current level as support but lacks a catalyst to sustain a knee-jerk rebound toward the next key resistance at $1.10.

Is Gold about to enter its biggest bull run since 2020?

Gold has stormed back into the spotlight and its next move could leave late buyers chasing. On August 5, the yellow metal surged almost 7% – roughly $174 – to close near $4,308 an ounce, posting one of its biggest daily advances in recent history. A weaker U.S dollar, falling Treasury yields, changing Federal Reserve expectations and renewed safe-haven demand all struck at once.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.