|

Gold retreats from 3-week tops amid modest USD recovery

Gold reversed majority of its early gains to three week tops near $1249 level and has now moved on the brink of breaking into negative territory.

A modest greenback recovery, with the key US Dollar Index bouncing off multi-week troughs, seems to be a key factor prompting traders to take some profits off the table. It is worth mentioning that the precious metal has rallied from $1222 to $1249 over the past six trading sessions after the Fed decided to raise interest rates but left its policy outlook unchanged. 

The perceived less hawkish Fed triggered a sharp slide in the US treasury bond yields and weighed heavily on the greenback, which eventually benefitted dollar-denominated commodities - like gold. 

Meanwhile, a tepid recovery in the European equity markets, albeit still holding in bearish territory for the day, seems to weigh a bit on the precious metal's safe-haven demand and is collaborating to a minor retracement from closer to monthly highs resistance near the $1250 region.

Technical outlook

Carol Harmer, Founder at charmertradingacademy.com writes, "we know 1244 was a good level...we have been to 1249 today...so we do need to break 1251 to see another return to the highs...Now we have already broken the 200 day EMA but the simple M/A is lurking at 1259....Now this really combined with the 61.8 fib was what held the prior Gold rally at 1263...so we know hat between 1259 and 1263 there is going to be a lot of profit taking and fresh sellers...."

"Support as we know is at 1236 and 1226 and we are buyers on dips to these lower levels...." she added.
 

    1. R3 1273.58
    2. R2 1260.57
    3. R1 1252.33
  1. PP 1239.32
    1. S1 1231.08
    2. S2 1218.07
    3. S3 1209.83

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD remains offered; bears target 1.3600

GBP/USD now leaves behind part of its recent recovery and revisits the low 1.3600s at the beginning of the week. Indeed, Cable trades with a mild downward bias amid decent gains in the Greenback as investors remain wary of upcoming US data releases and the Jackson Hole event.

EUR/USD remains sidelined above 1.1650

EUR/USD trades on the defensive following the closing bell on Wall Street on Monday, hovering around the 1.1660 region and adding to Friday’s small decline. The pair’s pullback comes in response to an acceptable rebound in the US Dollar in a context of generalised caution ahead of key US data releases and Chair Warsh’s speech in Jackson Hole.

Gold poised to extend its bullish run

Gold surrenders part of its initial advance, although it keeps its bullish pace well and sound above the $4,600 mark per troy ounce on Monday. The precious metal’s move higher comes despite slight gains in the US Dollar and a modest pullback in US Treasury yields across the curve.

XRP surged 72%, but is the rally really about XRP?
Ripple (XRP) surged more than 72% in less than a week, its strongest rally since July 2025, as cryptocurrency prices broadly broke out. But the move has a problem: it may have little to do with XRP itself. The token's near-term rally appears to have been driven largely by a broader liquidity shift after the US Treasury expanded long-end bond buybacks, pulling yields lower and lifting risk assets.
Convulsion in credit markets
The United States government just posted a $432.3 billion deficit for July, the largest monthly shortfall since March of 2021. That single burst of red ink pushed the yeartodate deficit to $1.8 trillion, with two months still remaining in fiscal 2026. At this pace, Washington will soon wax nostalgic for the “good old days” when annual deficits were only $2 trillion.
$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.