|

Gold recovers early lost ground, turns higher for the day

   •  The USD up-move loses momentum and helps recover early lost ground.
   •  Weaker bond yields provide an additional boost and remain supportive.

Gold recovered early lost ground to a session low level of $1218 and has now turned higher for the day, recovering part of the overnight downfall.

The US Dollar struggled to build on the previous session's positive momentum/early gains and was seen as one of the key factors behind the latest leg of up-move since the early European session. It is worth noting that a weaker greenback tends to underpin demand for dollar-denominated commodities - like gold.

This coupled with retracing US Treasury bond yields, with the benchmark 10-year yield correcting from five-week tops set on Monday, provided an additional boost to the non-yielding yellow metal and remained supportive of the uptick. 

Meanwhile, the prevalent risk-on mood, as depicted by strong rally across European equity markets and which tends to weigh on the precious metal's safe-haven demand, did little to prompt any fresh selling, albeit might now contribute towards capping any strong up-move.

In absence of any major market moving economic releases from the US, the USD price dynamics might continue to act as an exclusive driver of the commodity's momentum on Tuesday. However, this week's important US macro data, especially the first Q2 GDP growth figures, will play an important role in determining the next leg of the directional move. 

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent up-move is likely to confront immediate resistance near $1231 level, above which a fresh bout of short-covering could lift the metal further towards $1240 supply zone. On the flip side, the $1218-16 region now seems to have emerged as an immediate support, which if broken might turn the commodity vulnerable to slide back towards one-year lows, around the $1212-11 area.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold remains capped below $4,200 as traders await US NFP for Fed rate cuts

Gold extends its sideways move on Friday, trading below the $4,200 mark heading into the European session as traders await the release of US employment details. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report is expected to show that the economy added only 90K jobs in September, down from the previous month's reading of 162K.

Pi Network retreats to key support level as selling pressure resurfaces

Pi Network price remains volatile in the near term, hovering around $0.0900 at press time on Friday after losing over 3% the previous day. The pullback warns of a steeper correction, with a risk of breaking below a rising wedge pattern on the four-hour chart. Pi Network struggles to maintain a steady recovery as the price remains capped below the $0.1000 psychological barrier.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to soften in September

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics is set to release September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday at 12:30 GMT. Investors expect NFP to rise by 90K in September following August’s impressive 162K increase. The Unemployment Rate is seen holding steady at 4.1%, while the monthly wage inflation, as measured by the change in Average Hourly Earnings, is projected to hold steady at 0.3%.

Markets are pricing a Fed pause. The jobs data says the hike is still coming
The market has rapidly changed its mind about the Federal Reserve (Fed). Only a week ago, investors saw an October interest-rate hike as the most likely outcome. However, softer inflation and cautious comments from policymakers have since turned a pause into the dominant scenario. Yet beneath that dramatic repricing, the US economy is sending a considerably less dovish message.