|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades near $2,010 after retreating from a six-month high

  • Gold price gains ground for the third session on subdued US Dollar.
  • Yellow metal may receive support on the positive sentiment as PBoC boosts financial support for private firms.
  • Fed officials favor further tightening and emphasize that decisions will be contingent on incoming data.

Gold price trims some of its intraday gains during the Asian session on Monday, pulling back from a six-month high at $2,018 per troy ounce. At the time of writing, the price of the precious metal trades higher around $2,010.

The price of Gold could see further strengthening on the positive sentiment arising from the news that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) has issued a notice to enhance financial support for private firms. This includes support for private enterprises in listing and financing, mergers and acquisitions, and restructuring. PBoC has pledged to increase bond issuance by privately owned firms and is encouraging lenders not to cut or suspend loans for private companies facing temporary difficulties but have competitive technologies.

Gold receives upward support from the negative tone surrounding the US Dollar (USD). This negativity has been influenced by the mixed S&P Global PMI data, leading market participants to speculate that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider easing monetary policy in 2024. The interplay of these factors is contributing to the strength of Gold as a safe-haven asset amid uncertainties in the Greenback and the Fed’s monetary policy trajectory.

The latest data on the US S&P Global Composite PMI for November indicates it remained unchanged at 50.7. The Services PMI increased to 50.8 in November from 50.6 in October. However, the Manufacturing PMI eased to 49.4 from 50.0, falling short of the 49.8 estimated.

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 103.40, struggling to halt losses on the back of improved US Treasury yields. The US 10-year and 2-year bond yields stand at 4.50% and 4.97%, respectively, by the press time.

Despite speculation about potential easing, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have underscored the necessity for further tightening. Moreover, they have emphasized that decisions will be contingent on incoming data.

XAU/USD: Technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price2011.38
Today Daily Change9.03
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open2002.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA201976.13
Daily SMA501935.04
Daily SMA1001933.44
Daily SMA2001940.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2003.64
Previous Daily Low1991.53
Previous Weekly High2007.63
Previous Weekly Low1965.51
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1999.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1996.16
Daily Pivot Point S11994.71
Daily Pivot Point S21987.06
Daily Pivot Point S31982.6
Daily Pivot Point R12006.82
Daily Pivot Point R22011.28
Daily Pivot Point R32018.93

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD eases toward 1.3500 on geopolitical tensions, hawkish Fed bets

GBP/USD trades with mild losses below 1.3550 in the European session. The US Dollar recovers some ground amid ongoing Middle East tensions and hawkish expectations around the Fed's interest rate outlook, weighing on the pair ahead of US data releases.

EUR/USD struggles near 1.1600, awaits Eurozone HICP for impetus

EUR/USD struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce and drifts near 1.1600 in European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair remains under pressure amid a modest US Dollar rebound. Traders now look to the preliminary reading of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for fresh trading impetus.

Gold: Defending $4,400 is critical for buyers

Gold fades Monday’s rebound from eight-day lows, reverting toward $4,400 early Tuesday. US Dollar bounces sharply amid US-Iran tensions-led risk aversion and hawkish Fed bets. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after defending it on Monday; RSI still bullish.

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin show weakness – Crucial EMAs in focus

Ripple, Cardano, and Dogecoin remain weak after double-digit losses last week, testing their crucial Exponential Moving Averages for immediate support. The technical outlook warns of further weakness in the prices of XRP, ADA, and DOGE as bullish momentum eases.

Fed Chair Warsh runs open-mouth operations at Jackson Hole but can he deliver?
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh moved markets on Friday with his Jackson Hole speech, even though the central bank has yet to do anything to move inflation. Clearly, Warsh wants to convey a message. He’s tough on inflation, and the Fed will “deliver price stability.”
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.