|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD trades near $2,010 after retreating from a six-month high

  • Gold price gains ground for the third session on subdued US Dollar.
  • Yellow metal may receive support on the positive sentiment as PBoC boosts financial support for private firms.
  • Fed officials favor further tightening and emphasize that decisions will be contingent on incoming data.

Gold price trims some of its intraday gains during the Asian session on Monday, pulling back from a six-month high at $2,018 per troy ounce. At the time of writing, the price of the precious metal trades higher around $2,010.

The price of Gold could see further strengthening on the positive sentiment arising from the news that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) has issued a notice to enhance financial support for private firms. This includes support for private enterprises in listing and financing, mergers and acquisitions, and restructuring. PBoC has pledged to increase bond issuance by privately owned firms and is encouraging lenders not to cut or suspend loans for private companies facing temporary difficulties but have competitive technologies.

Gold receives upward support from the negative tone surrounding the US Dollar (USD). This negativity has been influenced by the mixed S&P Global PMI data, leading market participants to speculate that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might consider easing monetary policy in 2024. The interplay of these factors is contributing to the strength of Gold as a safe-haven asset amid uncertainties in the Greenback and the Fed’s monetary policy trajectory.

The latest data on the US S&P Global Composite PMI for November indicates it remained unchanged at 50.7. The Services PMI increased to 50.8 in November from 50.6 in October. However, the Manufacturing PMI eased to 49.4 from 50.0, falling short of the 49.8 estimated.

US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 103.40, struggling to halt losses on the back of improved US Treasury yields. The US 10-year and 2-year bond yields stand at 4.50% and 4.97%, respectively, by the press time.

Despite speculation about potential easing, Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have underscored the necessity for further tightening. Moreover, they have emphasized that decisions will be contingent on incoming data.

XAU/USD: Technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price2011.38
Today Daily Change9.03
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open2002.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA201976.13
Daily SMA501935.04
Daily SMA1001933.44
Daily SMA2001940.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2003.64
Previous Daily Low1991.53
Previous Weekly High2007.63
Previous Weekly Low1965.51
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1999.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1996.16
Daily Pivot Point S11994.71
Daily Pivot Point S21987.06
Daily Pivot Point S31982.6
Daily Pivot Point R12006.82
Daily Pivot Point R22011.28
Daily Pivot Point R32018.93

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD tests daily lows near 1.1380; focus on ECB Forum

EUR/USD remains under pressure below 1.1400 on Wednesday amid extra gains in the US Dollar. In addition, softer-than-expected inflation data in Germany and the Euroland fuel expectations of a less aggressive ECB, contributing to the downside mood.

Gold clings to daily gains beyond $4,000 ahead of Warsh

Gold manages to regain composure and advance past the key $4,000 per troy ounce on Wednesday, reversing two daily drops in a row. The yellow metal’s decent bounce comes despite uncertainty surrounding Iran and growing expectations of a Fed rate hike continue to support the Greenback for now.


ISM Manufacturing PMI expected to signal continued expansion in the US

Attention shifts to Wednesday’s release of the June ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, one of the most closely followed indicators of activity in the US manufacturing sector and an important barometer of the broader economy. Markets expect the headline index to remain unchanged at 54.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of  Sintra this week. The European Central Bank Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Federal Reserve, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.