|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to offset Fed rate hikes by virtue of safe-haven demand – ANZ

Gold’s geopolitical risk premium eased amid peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. A stronger USD and the prospects of a more aggressive rate hike cycle also weighed on sentiment. Strategists at ANZ expect the yellow metal to offset prospects of aggressive tightening thanks to safe-haven demand amid prolonged Ukraine conflict.

Gold investment demand is rebounding

“The US Federal Reserve raised rates by 25bps at its meeting last week. Its dot plot showed the median for the next two years is exceeding long-term projections. While an aggressive rate hike cycle remains a key headwind, this should be offset by strong safe-haven demand amid the uncertainty created by the ongoing war in Ukraine.”

“Investment demand has seen strong inflows since February, with ETF net flows rising to 202t year-to-date. This follows a net liquidation of 300t in 2021. Investors have also added net-long positions of 233t of gold in futures.”

“Physical gold demand in India and China could be impacted by higher gold prices and the prospects of slower economic growth. Deteriorating gold spot premium in India and China suggests weakening physical offtake.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases toward 1.1700 as USD finds fresh demand

EUR/USD eases toward the 1.1700 mark in Europe trading on Friday. The pair faces headwinds from a renewed uptick in the US Dollar as investors look past softer US inflation data. However, the EUR/USD downside appears capped by expectations of the Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence. 

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold stays weak below $4,350 as USD bulls shrug off softer US CPI

Gold holds the previous day's late pullback from the vicinity of the record high and stays in the red below $4,350 in the European session on Friday. The US CPI report released on Thursday pointed to cooling inflationary pressures, but the US Dollar seems resilient amid a fresh bout of short-covering.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple correction slide as BoJ rate decision weighs on sentiment

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are extending their correction phases after losing nearly 3%, 8%, and 10%, respectively, through Friday. The pullback phase is further strengthened as the upcoming Bank of Japan’s rate decision on Friday weighs on risk sentiment, with BTC breaking key support, ETH deepening weekly losses, and XRP sliding to multi-month lows.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

Ethereum Price Forecast: EF outlines ways to solve growing state issues

Ethereum price today: $2,920. The EF noted that Ethereum's growing state could lead to centralization and weaken censorship resistance. The Stateless Consensus team outlined state expiry, state archive and partial statelessness as potential solutions to the growing state load.