|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to move higher if US data comes weaker than expected – TDS

Gold (XAU/USD) closed at an all-time high on Friday. Economists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook for the week ahead.

Data from the US could trigger a big reaction in XAU/USD

February ISM services, payrolls, wages and unemployment data may well be catalysts for Gold to move higher if they come in significantly weaker than expected. Otherwise, much of the latest gains will likely be given back. 

We suspect that data will be weaker, but not so poor as to drive yields much lower. As such, the market will have to wait for our $2,300+ trading target to manifest a while longer.

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers traction, approaches 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to reverse Tuesday’s pullback, advancing to two-day highs near the 1.1800 hurdle in the latter part of Wednesday’s session. The pair’s decent uptick comes on the back of the modest retracement in the US Dollar, as investors continue to closely follow developments on the trade front and news from the White House in the wake of President Trump’s SOTU speech.

GBP/USD flirts with weekly tops north of 1.3500

GBP/USD leaves behind the previous day’s decline and regains fresh upside traction on Wednesday, surpassing the 1.3500 barrier in a context of a marginal advance in the Greenback and a generalised improved mood in the risk-associated universe. Meanwhile, the US tariff narrative continues to dictate the mood among market participants.

Gold picks up pace, focus on $5,200

Gold buyers are stepping back in on Wednesday, with sights set on $5,200 and potentially higher, after Tuesday’s pullback from monthly highs. The yellow metal’s recovery follows some loss of momentum in the US Dollar after Trump’s SOTU speech failed to deliver fresh impetus and AI-related jitters continue to fade.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP test rebound strength as ETF inflows return

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are gaining traction at the time of writing on Wednesday, amid persistent market doldrums. The Crypto King is up over 2% intraday, trading above $65,000 from the day’s opening of $64,058.

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom

Nvidia remains at the heart of the AI boom, with Q4 revenue projected near $65.6–66.1 billion, nearly 70% higher year-over-year. But investors are watching cash flow, leverage, and broader AI adoption. Growth is strong, but the AI stress isn’t over.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.