|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD still considered as a safe-haven and store of value – Commerzbank

Gold is stable following biggest weekly loss in nine months. In the view of economists at Commerzbank, the yellow metal is still regarded as a safe-haven and store of value.

Fed rate hike expectations weighed on gold

“At -3.4%, XAU/USD chalked up its biggest weekly loss since last June. We attribute this to the US Federal Reserve rate hike and the market expectations regarding further rate increases during the course of the year. The higher bond yields and higher real interest rates are also likely to have contributed to last week’s fall. By contrast, the US dollar has depreciated somewhat – so it presumably generated no headwind.” 

“ETF investors continued their robust gold buying: the gold ETFs tracked by Bloomberg registered inflows of 30 tons last week. According to the CFTC’s statistics, speculative financial investors remain at an above-average level as compared with the past 1½ years, however. In other words, it is not only ETF investors but also speculative financial investors who appear to be still counting heavily on gold as a safe-haven and store of value.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, nears 1.1700

The EUR/USD pair eases in the American afternoon and approaches the 1.1700 mark. The pair surged earlier in the day after the ECB left interest rates unchanged and upwardly revised inflation and growth figures. The US CPI rose 2.7% YoY in November, nearing Fed’s goal.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders digest BoE policy update and US inflation data

The GBP/USD pair stalls the previous day's pullback from the vicinity of mid-1.3400s and a nearly two-month high, though it struggles to attract meaningful buyers during the Asian session on Friday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3380-1.3385 region, up only 0.05% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Gold declines despite Fed rate cut hopes as US inflation cools

Gold price keeps pushing lower below $4,350 in Asian trading hours on Friday. The precious metal stays in the red due to some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from shorter-term futures traders. 

Top Crypto Losers: Pump.fun, Pudgy Penguins, and Hyperliquid extend bearish streak

Pump.fun, Pudgy Penguins, and Hyperliquid lose ground in an extended bearish streak, recording double-digit losses this week. The surprise drop in the November US Consumer Price Index to 2.7%, beating expectations of 3.1%, fueled a rally in the stock market.

Bank of England cuts rates in heavily divided decision

The Bank of England has cut rates to 3.75%, but the decision was more hawkish than expected, leaving market rates higher and sterling slightly stronger. It's a close call whether the Bank cuts again in February or March.

Ripple holds $1.82 support as low retail demand weighs on the token

Ripple (XRP) is trading between a key support at $1.82 and resistance at $2.00 at the time of writing on Thursday, reflecting the lethargic sentiment in the broader cryptocurrency market.