|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains under pressure below $1,900 amid stronger USD, eyes on US data

  • Gold price extends its downside around $1,875 on Thursday.
  • The upbeat US Durable Goods Orders exert some pressure on Gold price.
  • Gold traders will monitor the US Jobless Claims report, the third revision of GDP Q2, and Pending Home Sales data.

Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under selling pressure during the early European session on Thursday. The downtick of the precious metal is supported by the stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields. Gold price currently trades around $1,876, gaining 0.11% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD relative to a basket of foreign currencies, surges above 106.65, the highest since November. US Treasury yields also edges higher with the 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.60%, its highest level since 2007.

On Wednesday, the US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders for August rose by 0.2% MoM from a 5.6% drop in the previous reading, beating the expectations of a 0.5% fall MoM. Additionally, Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation climbed 0.4% MoM, a better than expected of 0.1% rise. Core capital goods orders grew 0.9% from the previous reading of a 0.4% drop, better than the estimation of 0%. Following the upbeat US data, the Greenback gains momentum across the board and exerts some pressure on USD-denominated Gold price.

Risk-averse sentiment dominated markets as investors weighed higher for longer rates narrative against growth risks from the possibility of an imminent government shutdown in the US. However, market participants will keep an eye on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week. The less hawkish tone might cap the upside of the USD and lift the gold price. 

On Thursday, market participants will monitor the US weekly Jobless Claims report, the third revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter, and Pending Home Sales data. The closely watched event will be the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release on Friday. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1877.68
Today Daily Change-23.32
Today Daily Change %-1.23
Today daily open1901
 
Trends
Daily SMA201923.92
Daily SMA501927.69
Daily SMA1001939.88
Daily SMA2001926.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1916.87
Previous Daily Low1899.25
Previous Weekly High1947.47
Previous Weekly Low1913.95
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1905.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1910.14
Daily Pivot Point S11894.54
Daily Pivot Point S21888.09
Daily Pivot Point S31876.92
Daily Pivot Point R11912.16
Daily Pivot Point R21923.33
Daily Pivot Point R31929.78

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.