|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains under pressure below $1,900 amid stronger USD, eyes on US data

  • Gold price extends its downside around $1,875 on Thursday.
  • The upbeat US Durable Goods Orders exert some pressure on Gold price.
  • Gold traders will monitor the US Jobless Claims report, the third revision of GDP Q2, and Pending Home Sales data.

Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under selling pressure during the early European session on Thursday. The downtick of the precious metal is supported by the stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields. Gold price currently trades around $1,876, gaining 0.11% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD relative to a basket of foreign currencies, surges above 106.65, the highest since November. US Treasury yields also edges higher with the 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.60%, its highest level since 2007.

On Wednesday, the US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders for August rose by 0.2% MoM from a 5.6% drop in the previous reading, beating the expectations of a 0.5% fall MoM. Additionally, Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation climbed 0.4% MoM, a better than expected of 0.1% rise. Core capital goods orders grew 0.9% from the previous reading of a 0.4% drop, better than the estimation of 0%. Following the upbeat US data, the Greenback gains momentum across the board and exerts some pressure on USD-denominated Gold price.

Risk-averse sentiment dominated markets as investors weighed higher for longer rates narrative against growth risks from the possibility of an imminent government shutdown in the US. However, market participants will keep an eye on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week. The less hawkish tone might cap the upside of the USD and lift the gold price. 

On Thursday, market participants will monitor the US weekly Jobless Claims report, the third revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter, and Pending Home Sales data. The closely watched event will be the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release on Friday. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1877.68
Today Daily Change-23.32
Today Daily Change %-1.23
Today daily open1901
 
Trends
Daily SMA201923.92
Daily SMA501927.69
Daily SMA1001939.88
Daily SMA2001926.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1916.87
Previous Daily Low1899.25
Previous Weekly High1947.47
Previous Weekly Low1913.95
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1905.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1910.14
Daily Pivot Point S11894.54
Daily Pivot Point S21888.09
Daily Pivot Point S31876.92
Daily Pivot Point R11912.16
Daily Pivot Point R21923.33
Daily Pivot Point R31929.78

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold extends losing spree as US bond yields hold ground

Gold extends its losing streak for the fourth trading day on Wednesday, trading 0.2% lower to near $4,115 in the Asian session. The precious metal is under pressure as United States Treasury Yields on the back of significant gains in oil prices in past few weeks.

Ethereum bounces off $2,400 for a sixth day despite ETF outflows
Ethereum (ETH) bounced again near the $2,400 level on Tuesday, the sixth straight day, as its on-chain cost basis and key moving averages have stood as key support levels. The sub-$2,400 level has proven to be a strong support for the top altcoin over the past week amid macro pressures. Buyers have repeatedly stepped in to defend prices whenever it falls below the level.
UK CPI set to accelerate, paving the way for a BoE interest rate hike in November

The United Kingdom Office for National Statistics is expected to release September’s Consumer Price Index on Wednesday at 06:00 GMT. These figures will be accompanied by the Producer Price Index and the Retail Sales report.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.