Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains under pressure below $1,900 amid stronger USD, eyes on US data


  • Gold price extends its downside around $1,875 on Thursday.
  • The upbeat US Durable Goods Orders exert some pressure on Gold price.
  • Gold traders will monitor the US Jobless Claims report, the third revision of GDP Q2, and Pending Home Sales data.

Gold price (XAU/USD) remains under selling pressure during the early European session on Thursday. The downtick of the precious metal is supported by the stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields. Gold price currently trades around $1,876, gaining 0.11% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD relative to a basket of foreign currencies, surges above 106.65, the highest since November. US Treasury yields also edges higher with the 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.60%, its highest level since 2007.

On Wednesday, the US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders for August rose by 0.2% MoM from a 5.6% drop in the previous reading, beating the expectations of a 0.5% fall MoM. Additionally, Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation climbed 0.4% MoM, a better than expected of 0.1% rise. Core capital goods orders grew 0.9% from the previous reading of a 0.4% drop, better than the estimation of 0%. Following the upbeat US data, the Greenback gains momentum across the board and exerts some pressure on USD-denominated Gold price.

Risk-averse sentiment dominated markets as investors weighed higher for longer rates narrative against growth risks from the possibility of an imminent government shutdown in the US. However, market participants will keep an eye on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week. The less hawkish tone might cap the upside of the USD and lift the gold price. 

On Thursday, market participants will monitor the US weekly Jobless Claims report, the third revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter, and Pending Home Sales data. The closely watched event will be the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release on Friday. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around gold price.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1877.68
Today Daily Change -23.32
Today Daily Change % -1.23
Today daily open 1901
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1923.92
Daily SMA50 1927.69
Daily SMA100 1939.88
Daily SMA200 1926.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1916.87
Previous Daily Low 1899.25
Previous Weekly High 1947.47
Previous Weekly Low 1913.95
Previous Monthly High 1966.08
Previous Monthly Low 1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1905.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1910.14
Daily Pivot Point S1 1894.54
Daily Pivot Point S2 1888.09
Daily Pivot Point S3 1876.92
Daily Pivot Point R1 1912.16
Daily Pivot Point R2 1923.33
Daily Pivot Point R3 1929.78

 

 

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