|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD pulls back to near $2,310 from the fresh highs

  • Gold price retreats from the new record high of $2,330 marked on Friday.
  • The price of Gold faces challenges due to lowered chances of Fed rate cuts in June.
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls added 303K new jobs in March, exceeding the expected 200K.

Gold price drops to near $2,310 per troy ounce during the Asian session on Monday after touching a new record high on Friday. The price of precious metal faces challenges primarily due to higher US Treasury yields, which weakens the non-yielding assets.

The recent gains in the US Dollar exert downward pressure on the price of Gold, making it more expensive for investors holding other currencies to purchase Gold. This decreases demand for the precious metal.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades higher around 104.40, with the 2-year and 10-year yields on US Treasury bonds standing at 4.77% and 4.42%, by the press time. The stronger Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report reinforces the bullish outlook for the Greenback. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a rate cut in June from the Federal Reserve (Fed) has been depreciated to 46.1%.

US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) reported a significant increase of 303,000 jobs in March, surpassing expectations of 200,000. However, the previous growth of 275,000 was revised downward to 270,000.

Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Lorie K. Logan emphasized on Friday that, given the upside risks to inflation, she believes it is premature to consider cutting interest rates. She stressed the necessity of resolving more uncertainty regarding the economic trajectory before making such decisions. Logan also highlighted the importance of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to remain ready to respond appropriately if inflationary pressures cease to abate.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2313.6
Today Daily Change-16.10
Today Daily Change %-0.69
Today daily open2329.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA202204.89
Daily SMA502107.81
Daily SMA1002068.32
Daily SMA2001998.75
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2330.55
Previous Daily Low2267.86
Previous Weekly High2330.55
Previous Weekly Low2228.58
Previous Monthly High2236.27
Previous Monthly Low2039.12
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2306.6
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2291.81
Daily Pivot Point S12288.19
Daily Pivot Point S22246.68
Daily Pivot Point S32225.5
Daily Pivot Point R12350.88
Daily Pivot Point R22372.06
Daily Pivot Point R32413.57

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).