Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD posts modest gains above the mid-$2,100s amid geopolitical tension risks

Gold price posts modest gains near $2,168 in Monday’s early Asian session.
The FOMC maintained its outlook for three quarter-point rate cuts this year, which benefit the gold price.
The rising geopolitical tension in Ukraine might boost safe-haven assets like gold prices.

Lallalit Srijandorn FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) holds above the mid-$2,100s during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The recovery of the yellow metal is bolstered by the higher possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could start cutting rates later this year. Traders await the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) numbers for the fourth quarter (Q4) for fresh impetus, which is estimated to remain steady at 3.2%. Gold price currently trades around $2,168, gaining 0.15% on the day.

Last week, the Fed left its benchmark interest rate unchanged for the fifth consecutive meeting at its 5.25% to 5.50% range after its March meeting. The Fed Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the central bank was on course for three interest rate cuts in 2024, which fuel more investor demand for the precious metal and lift the gold price. Investors have priced in a 72% odds that the Fed will start cutting rates in the June meeting, up from 65% before the rate decision, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Furthermore, the escalating geopolitical tension in Ukraine might boost the safe-haven flows, benefiting the gold price. On Sunday, an underground gas storage facility in Ukraine was attacked in the latest round of Russian missile attacks on power facilities. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said attempts to restore power supply were underway in several locations, with the most challenging situation in Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city, per Reuters.

Looking ahead, gold traders will closely watch the US GDP growth numbers Annualized for Q4. If the report shows stronger-than-expected data, this could provide some support to the Greenback and weigh on the US Dollar-denominated Gold. On Friday, the markets will be closed for Good Friday.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	2165.02
Today Daily Change	-0.39
Today Daily Change %	-0.02
Today daily open	2165.41

Trends
Daily SMA20	2131.96
Daily SMA50	2067.54
Daily SMA100	2042.38
Daily SMA200	1984.11

Levels
Previous Daily High	2186.16
Previous Daily Low	2157.17
Previous Weekly High	2223.22
Previous Weekly Low	2146.16
Previous Monthly High	2065.49
Previous Monthly Low	1984.26
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	2168.24
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	2175.09
Daily Pivot Point S1	2153
Daily Pivot Point S2	2140.59
Daily Pivot Point S3	2124.01
Daily Pivot Point R1	2181.99
Daily Pivot Point R2	2198.57
Daily Pivot Point R3	2210.98

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

FXStreet

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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