|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD points to deeper decline towards the $1670 low – Commerzbank

Gold’s tepid bounce has not been enough to alleviate the bearish bias, in the view of Karen Jones, Team Head FICC Technical Analysis Research at Commerzbank. The yellow metal is set to remain under pressure while below $1834.

55-week ma at $1819 has capped XAU/USD

“Gold’s outlook stays negative. It held the initial test of the 78.6% retracement at $1722. The bounce has fallen short of the 55-day ma at $1784 and immediate downside risk remains. Below $1721, support is found at $1679.80/$1677.83, and is reinforced by the $1670 June 2020 low.”

“We have extensive resistance from $1784 to $1834 (55, 200-day moving averages and highs since July) and we look for rallies to struggle on moves into this band. The 55-week ma is also found at $1819.” 

“A close above $1834 is needed to retest the $1856/57 4 th June low and the $1860 2020-2021 downtrend.”

“Below $1670 would target the 2018-2021 uptrend at $1603.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.