Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD juggles around $1,840 amid mixed market mood, US Services PMI in focus

Gold price is oscillating near $1,840.00 as the risk profile looks obscure ahead of US Services PMI.
More rate hikes from the Fed would dent the confidence of US firms.
Gold price is forming an Inverted H&S pattern that indicates a bullish reversal.

Sagar Dua FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) is displaying back-and-forth moves around $1,840.00 in the Asian session after a gradual move from $1,830.00. The precious metal has turned sideways amid mix market mood. The US Dollar Index (DXY) looks vulnerable above 104.80 and is likely to display a downside move further.

Long liquidations in the S&P500 futures have deepened in the Asian session as investors are getting anxious ahead of the release of the United States Services PMI by the Institute of Supply Management (ISM). The 500-US stocks basket futures displayed a sheer recovery on Thursday as geopolitical tensions between the US and China eased.

China’s Vice Commerce Minister said in a statement on Thursday, “China is willing to conduct candid consultations with the US to reduce restrictions on bilateral trade and investment.” He further added, “Need to create a stable and predictable economic and trade environment between China and US to enhance the confidence of business cooperation.”

Meanwhile, fears of more rates from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell expected in the March monetary policy are not fading as further rate hikes could dent the confidence of producers. Also, the strong labor market could soften if lay-off programs in the technology firms stretch to other sectors.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is forming an Inverted head and Shoulder chart pattern that indicates a prolonged consolidation and a breakout of the same confirms a bullish reversal. The neckline of the Inverted H&S chart pattern is plotted from February 20 high around $1,848.00. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is acting as a major support for the Gold bulls.

A break into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00 by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) will trigger the upside momentum.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1838.74
Today Daily Change	2.56
Today Daily Change %	0.14
Today daily open	1836.18

Trends
Daily SMA20	1844.18
Daily SMA50	1867.48
Daily SMA100	1798.78
Daily SMA200	1775.47

Levels
Previous Daily High	1839.02
Previous Daily Low	1830.01
Previous Weekly High	1847.59
Previous Weekly Low	1808.99
Previous Monthly High	1959.8
Previous Monthly Low	1804.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1833.45
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1835.58
Daily Pivot Point S1	1831.12
Daily Pivot Point S2	1826.06
Daily Pivot Point S3	1822.11
Daily Pivot Point R1	1840.13
Daily Pivot Point R2	1844.08
Daily Pivot Point R3	1849.14

Author

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

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