|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,060 amid the quiet session

  • The US Core PCE for November advanced 3.2% year-on-year, the smallest rise since April 2021.
  • The six rate cuts are fully priced in by the end of 2024, according to the WIRP.
  • The Middle East conflicts might boost safe-haven flows.

Gold price (XAU/USD) holds above $2,060 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The last week of 2023 is likely to be quiet amid the light trading volume. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,066, losing 0.09% on the day.

The US Dollar was broadly weaker against its rivals. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, drops to its lowest level since July near 101.45. The Treasury yields edge lower, with the 10-year yield standing at 3.89%.

Fed easing expectations have intensified. According to the WIRP, the market has priced in 15% odds of a cut on January 31 and fully priced in March 20 with the six cuts fully priced in by end-2024. However, traders will take more cues from the data in the coming weeks. It’s worth noting that lower interest rates benefit the yellow metal as they decrease the opportunity cost of holding non

Last week, November’s Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) came in at 0.1% MoM, below the market consensus of 0.2%. On an annual basis, the Core PCE showed the smallest rise since April 2021, arriving at 3.2% YoY from 3.4% in October, worse than the market expectation of 3.3%.

Apart from this, Yemen continues to threaten the Red Sea, but there are also concerns about a wider threat to shipping. Iran said it could shut down the Gibraltar Strait, which is something that most people doubt. This, in turn, might lift the price of a safe-haven asset like gold.

Moving on, gold traders will keep an eye on the developments surrounding the geopolitical tension in the Middle East. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December and the Initial Jobless Claims will be due on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2066.3
Today Daily Change13.32
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open2052.98
 
Trends
Daily SMA202029.19
Daily SMA501997.23
Daily SMA1001949.15
Daily SMA2001958.85
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2052.98
Previous Daily Low2052.98
Previous Weekly High2070.65
Previous Weekly Low2016.17
Previous Monthly High2052.03
Previous Monthly Low1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2052.98
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2052.98
Daily Pivot Point S12052.98
Daily Pivot Point S22052.98
Daily Pivot Point S32052.98
Daily Pivot Point R12052.98
Daily Pivot Point R22052.98
Daily Pivot Point R32052.98

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries, adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).